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methodnumber8

0x6cc3…36b2polymarket ↗last active 13m ago
All-time PnL
$946.83
Win rate
32.0%
17 of 53
Total trades
53
Avg PnL / trade
$37.87
30d PnL
$933.88
30d trades
23
30d wins
5
21.7%
30d volume
$3.62k
Category edge
Sports
40.5%
-11.2pp
n=42

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
40.9% (18 wins / 26 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 13 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 12-day series
$1.23k
-$44.50
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 85%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 53 trades
Category focus: Sports 85% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.25 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.36Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.64 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 36¢ · 53 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.00 · p90 $259.74
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 21:00 · 53 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·13m ago·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Raiders on Raiders vs. Chargers
260 @ 0.999
SELL·14m ago·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Broncos on Jaguars vs. Broncos
499.99 @ 0.999
BUY·34m ago·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Raiders on Raiders vs. Chargers
260 @ 0.810
BUY·4h agoageing·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
+$30.00 · 300 @ 0.900
BUY·5h agoageing·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20?
-$176.00 · 200 @ 0.880
SELL·1d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
+$11.93 · 596.48 @ 0.020
BUY·1d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
-$149.99 · 205.47 @ 0.730
BUY·1d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?
-$3.82 · 159.09 @ 0.024
BUY·2d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
-$50.00 · 208.33 @ 0.240
SELL·5d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15?
+$0.90 · 449.9 @ 0.002
SELL·5d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15?
-$5.97 · 596.99 @ 0.990
SELL·5d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?
-$0.32 · 315.78 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?
+$15.79 · 315.78 @ 0.950
SELL·6d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
-$192.00 · 417.4 @ 0.540
BUY·7d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$60.00 · 100 @ 0.400
SELL·11d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
-$8.10 · 10 @ 0.190
BUY·11d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
323.62 @ 0.013
BUY·11d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
790.16 @ 0.012
BUY·14d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2900 @ 0.015
BUY·14d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
2900 @ 0.060
BUY·14d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1350 @ 0.060
BUY·14d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
+$1.17k · 1300 @ 0.102
BUY·15d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1700 @ 0.041
SELL·63d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
-$0.03 · 13.03 @ 0.998
SELL·63d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
+$9.78 · 29.85 @ 0.328
BUY·63d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 20.94 @ 0.477
BUY·63d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
-$9.93 · 29.85 @ 0.333
BUY·63d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
-$9.85 · 20.41 @ 0.482
BUY·63d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
+$3.13 · 13.03 @ 0.760
SELL·67d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Argentina on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$0.35 · 138.97 @ 0.998
BUY·67d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Argentina on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
+$74.70 · 138.97 @ 0.463
BUY·80d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
-$10.00 · 400 @ 0.025
BUY·80d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
-$7.78 · 444.44 @ 0.018
SELL·80d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
-$2.56 · 12.19 @ 0.790
BUY·80d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
+$2.20 · 12.2 @ 0.820
SELL·80d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
+$10.00 · 83.33 @ 0.120
BUY·80d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
-$9.17 · 83.33 @ 0.110
BUY·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
-$10.00 · 10000 @ 0.001
BUY·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 10000 @ 0.001
SELL·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
+$7.50 · 500 @ 0.015
SELL·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
-$102.22 · 111.11 @ 0.080
SELL·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
-$82.72 · 90.9 @ 0.090
BUY·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
-$9.50 · 500 @ 0.019
BUY·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
+$101.11 · 111.11 @ 0.090
BUY·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
+$80.91 · 90.91 @ 0.110
SELL·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
+$10.00 · 40 @ 0.250
BUY·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
-$10.00 · 40 @ 0.250
SELL·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
Yes on Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
+$8.33 · 166.66 @ 0.050
SELL·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will England win on 2026-07-01?
+$9.58 · 41.66 @ 0.230
SELL·81d agostale·0x6cc3…36b2why? →
No on Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
-$8.36 · 18.18 @ 0.540
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.