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graziek99

0x6b9b…8484polymarket ↗last active 30m ago
All-time PnL
-$2.02k
Win rate
53.3%
18 of 34
Total trades
34
Avg PnL / trade
-$134.74
30d PnL
-$2.02k
30d trades
34
30d wins
8
23.5%
30d volume
$25.9k
Category edge
Sports
53.3%
+6.1pp
n=30

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
53.3% (16 wins / 14 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$104.83
-$2.02k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 34 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.35 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.82Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $391Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.41 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 82¢ · 34 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $390.74 · p90 $2.51k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 23:00 · 34 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·30m ago·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Under on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5
2975.65 @ 0.940
BUY·31m ago·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Under on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5
2703.54 @ 0.930
BUY·34m ago·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Under on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5
610.06 @ 0.910
BUY·34m ago·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Under on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5
39.99 @ 0.900
SELL·18h agoageing·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on Will FC Groningen win on 2026-09-18?
-$3.39 · 1100 @ 0.997
SELL·18h agoageing·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on KAA Gent vs. Standard Liege: Both Teams to Score
-$128.77 · 286.15 @ 0.550
BUY·18h agoageing·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on KAA Gent vs. Standard Liege: Both Teams to Score
+$120.18 · 286.15 @ 0.580
BUY·18h agoageing·0x6b9b…8484why? →
No on KAA Gent vs. Standard Liege: Both Teams to Score
-$1.06k · 1703.04 @ 0.622
BUY·18h agoageing·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on Will FC Groningen win on 2026-09-18?
+$55.20 · 1100 @ 0.950
SELL·5d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Eagles on Commanders vs. Eagles
-$1.42k · 5466.26 @ 0.740
BUY·5d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Eagles on Commanders vs. Eagles
+$874.60 · 5466.26 @ 0.840
SELL·5d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
-$2.22 · 975.14 @ 0.998
BUY·5d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
+$64.57 · 807.141305 @ 0.920
SELL·5d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
-$138.32 · 640.71 @ 0.784
SELL·5d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
No on Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
-$46.49 · 294.11 @ 0.842
BUY·6d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
+$155.70 · 648.76 @ 0.760
BUY·6d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Yes on Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
-$150.00 · 234.375 @ 0.640
BUY·6d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
No on Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
+$44.12 · 294.117646 @ 0.850
BUY·8d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Under on Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
-$574.42 · 598.35 @ 0.960
BUY·8d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
No on Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score in First Half
+$83.06 · 638.95 @ 0.870
BUY·9d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Karen Khachanov on US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
+$10.88 · 333.279937 @ 0.967
BUY·9d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Alexander Zverev on US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp
+$27.27 · 227.272725 @ 0.880
SELL·9d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Karen Khachanov on US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
-$89.58 · 344.53 @ 0.740
BUY·9d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Karen Khachanov on US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
+$80.66 · 432.642074 @ 0.814
BUY·9d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Karen Khachanov on US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
+$56.41 · 256.410254 @ 0.780
SELL·9d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Under on Rangers FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5
-$0.08 · 75.11 @ 0.999
BUY·9d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Under on Rangers FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5
+$6.01 · 75.11 @ 0.920
SELL·10d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Ben Shelton on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
-$113.10 · 130 @ 0.130
BUY·10d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Ben Shelton on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
+$81.90 · 130 @ 0.370
SELL·10d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
No on Independiente Santa Fe vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
-$0.52 · 515.46 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
No on Independiente Santa Fe vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
+$15.46 · 515.4639 @ 0.970
SELL·10d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Frances Tiafoe on US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
-$0.43 · 429.93 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Frances Tiafoe on US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
+$6.66 · 106.656016 @ 0.938
BUY·10d agostale·0x6b9b…8484why? →
Frances Tiafoe on US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
+$23.28 · 323.275863 @ 0.928
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.