No on Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 76°F or higher on July 2?
— 200 @ 0.989
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RU
ruanruan
All-time PnL
$27.68
Win rate
83.1%
83 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.36
30d PnL
$27.68
30d trades
100
30d wins
64
64.0%
30d volume
$9.65k
Category edge
Sports
0.0%
-52.8pp
n=5
Weather
88.9%
+8.9pp
n=72
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
83.1% (64 wins / 13 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 6-day series
$27.68
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 95%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 95% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.74 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.97 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $99 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.92 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 97¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $98.85 · p90 $191.49
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 04:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 3?
— 126 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 3?
— 29.39 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 2?
— 100 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 3?
— 72.74 @ 0.975
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?
— 197.17 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on July 2?
— 200 @ 0.994
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 3?
— 126.2 @ 0.994
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C or higher on July 2?
— 500 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?
— 532.37 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 112-113°F on July 2?
— 189.81 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on July 2?
— 100 @ 0.994
No on Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on July 2?
— 200 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on July 2?
— 100 @ 0.995
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 30?
— +$0.40 · 79.7 @ 0.995
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 30?
— +$3.00 · 42.85 @ 0.930
No on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on July 1?
— 50 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on July 1?
— 50 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on July 1?
— 10 @ 0.985
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?
— 200 @ 0.986
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?
— 200 @ 0.986
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?
— 100 @ 0.988
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 1?
— 50 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on July 1?
— 50 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on July 1?
— 5 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?
— -$0.14 · 68.18 @ 0.998
No on Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$10.75 · 30.03 @ 0.642
No on Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$5.67 · 16.07 @ 0.647
No on Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$7.44 · 21.09 @ 0.647
No on Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$4.56 · 14.06 @ 0.676
No on Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$6.26 · 18.75 @ 0.666
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?
— +$0.09 · 10 @ 0.991
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 30?
— +$1.85 · 66 @ 0.972
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on June 30?
— +$1.10 · 100 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on June 30?
— +$1.10 · 100 @ 0.989
No on Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 30?
— +$0.22 · 10.9 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?
— +$0.11 · 15 @ 0.993
No on Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 29?
— -$0.20 · 49.84 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 104°F or higher on June 29?
— -$0.30 · 100 @ 0.997
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on June 30?
— +$1.10 · 100 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 30?
— +$0.01 · 1.46 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 30?
— +$4.51 · 196 @ 0.977
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 30?
— +$0.38 · 19.09 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?
— +$1.10 · 100 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on June 30?
— +$1.10 · 100 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 30?
— +$2.00 · 100 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on June 30?
— +$1.10 · 100 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on June 30?
— +$1.10 · 100 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on June 29?
— -$0.45 · 149 @ 0.997
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 28?
— -$0.15 · 146.99 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.