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SI

sifonman

0x6ac9…e85apolymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
-$38.6k
Win rate
57.9%
58 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$1.02k
30d PnL
-$38.6k
30d trades
100
30d wins
22
22.0%
30d volume
$341.7k
Category edge
Sports
52.7%
-4.9pp
n=91

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
52.7% (48 wins / 43 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 9-day series
$19.3k
-$42.6k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.84 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.59Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $2,376Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.03 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 59¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $2.38k · p90 $8.96k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·18m ago·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Panthers on Spread: Panthers (-2.5)
24157 @ 0.490
BUY·32m ago·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Packers on Spread: Packers (-5.5)
2768 @ 0.410
BUY·40m ago·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Packers on Spread: Packers (-5.5)
29064 @ 0.410
BUY·47m ago·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Texans on Spread: Texans (-5.5)
12024 @ 0.390
BUY·1h ago·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Texans on Spread: Texans (-3.5)
10920 @ 0.440
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Panthers on Spread: Panthers (-4.5)
28730 @ 0.400
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Texans on Spread: Texans (-5.5)
5040 @ 0.390
BUY·3h agoageing·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Over on Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5
7680 @ 0.470
SELL·3h agoageing·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Texans on Spread: Texans (-5.5)
51.15 @ 0.380
BUY·2d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Lions on Spread: Bills (-2.5)
-$144.36 · 401 @ 0.360
SELL·2d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Over on Lions vs. Bills: O/U 55.5
-$59.40 · 110 @ 0.460
BUY·2d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Nadia Podoroska on Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska
+$1.49k · 3920 @ 0.620
BUY·2d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Nadia Podoroska on Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska
+$2.66k · 7000 @ 0.620
SELL·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Manchester City FC on Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
-$15.40 · 28 @ 0.450
BUY·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
New York Yankees on New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
-$1.21k · 2880 @ 0.420
BUY·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Minnesota Twins on New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
+$144.20 · 1442 @ 0.900
BUY·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Minnesota Twins on New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
+$133.03 · 1400 @ 0.905
BUY·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Minnesota Twins on New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
+$1.15k · 12600 @ 0.909
SELL·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
No on Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?
-$11.50 · 25 @ 0.540
BUY·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Chicago White Sox on Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)
-$561.03 · 2820 @ 0.199
BUY·3d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Chicago White Sox on Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)
-$199.50 · 1050 @ 0.190
BUY·6d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Miami Marlins on Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
+$271.25 · 875 @ 0.690
BUY·6d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
New York Yankees on Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)
-$571.56 · 1530 @ 0.374
BUY·6d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
+$1.35k · 2600 @ 0.480
BUY·6d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Over on Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5
-$1.00k · 2945 @ 0.340
SELL·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
St. Louis Cardinals on Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
-$3.22 · 46 @ 0.930
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
St. Louis Cardinals on Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
+$248.00 · 3100 @ 0.920
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
St. Louis Cardinals on Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
+$620.00 · 7750 @ 0.920
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
St. Louis Cardinals on Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
+$35.00 · 700 @ 0.950
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
St. Louis Cardinals on Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
+$777.00 · 12950 @ 0.940
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
-$4.13k · 4800 @ 0.860
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
-$13.1k · 15200 @ 0.860
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Minnesota Twins on Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
-$6.11k · 16500 @ 0.370
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Minnesota Twins on Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
-$6.11k · 16500 @ 0.370
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Kansas City Royals on Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox
+$1.86k · 8840 @ 0.790
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
-$6.24k · 9450 @ 0.660
SELL·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
-$15.00 · 60 @ 0.750
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
+$2.49k · 8300 @ 0.700
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
+$424.60 · 2123 @ 0.800
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
+$47.75 · 227.39 @ 0.790
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Baltimore Orioles on Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
+$150.40 · 940 @ 0.840
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Baltimore Orioles on Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
+$528.73 · 3110.19 @ 0.830
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
+$2.17k · 7000 @ 0.690
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
New York Mets on New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
-$119.60 · 1196 @ 0.100
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
New York Mets on New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
-$3.65k · 36480 @ 0.100
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
New York Mets on New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
-$3.64 · 28 @ 0.130
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
New York Mets on New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
-$3.64 · 28 @ 0.130
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
New York Mets on New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
-$3.64 · 28 @ 0.130
BUY·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Over on New York Mets vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5
-$11.20 · 28 @ 0.400
SELL·8d agostale·0x6ac9…e85awhy? →
Over on New York Mets vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5
+$5.18 · 14 @ 0.370
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.