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mrleon

0x6686…03b6polymarket ↗last active 23m ago
All-time PnL
$3.03k
Win rate
23.5%
12 of 51
Total trades
51
Avg PnL / trade
$89.19
30d PnL
$3.03k
30d trades
51
30d wins
8
15.7%
30d volume
$27.2k
Category edge
Sports
17.1%
-30.1pp
n=35

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
17.1% (6 wins / 29 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$2.66k
-$409.40
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 51 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.22Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.77 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 22¢ · 51 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $2.00k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 13:00 · 51 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·23m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
4000 @ 0.530
SELL·24m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
4999.98 @ 0.999
BUY·28m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?
5000 @ 0.026
BUY·32m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?
3367.21 @ 0.017
BUY·33m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?
3356.1 @ 0.017
BUY·34m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?
2078.13 @ 0.009
BUY·36m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?
4503.41 @ 0.012
SELL·39m ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
1481.99 @ 0.999
BUY·1h ago·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
888.44 @ 0.510
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
2928 @ 0.017
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
2792.27 @ 0.011
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
282 @ 0.530
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
3100 @ 0.028
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
2722.5 @ 0.016
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
1666.666667 @ 0.060
BUY·2h agoageing·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
2702.702703 @ 0.037
BUY·5d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
-$2.00k · 3835.671887 @ 0.521
BUY·5d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Manchester City FC?
-$200.00 · 2500 @ 0.080
BUY·5d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
-$2.00k · 4648.382273 @ 0.430
SELL·5d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
-$0.85 · 847.45 @ 0.999
SELL·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
+$2.77k · 2777.77 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
+$347.46 · 847.457626 @ 0.590
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Coventry City FC 3 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?
-$30.00 · 1200 @ 0.025
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Coventry City FC 3 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?
-$30.00 · 2054 @ 0.015
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Coventry City FC 3 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?
-$30.00 · 1881.25 @ 0.016
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
-$500.00 · 2777.777778 @ 0.180
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC?
-$100.00 · 2838.648649 @ 0.035
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?
-$100.00 · 2380.952381 @ 0.042
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
-$100.00 · 2777.777778 @ 0.036
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
-$100.00 · 4350.708334 @ 0.023
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
-$1.00k · 7340.34 @ 0.136
BUY·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Under on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5
+$1.22k · 2222.222223 @ 0.450
SELL·6d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
-$2.61 · 2608.69 @ 0.999
BUY·7d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 3 Hull City AFC?
-$1.36 · 272 @ 0.005
BUY·7d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 1 Hull City AFC?
-$50.00 · 2372.834546 @ 0.021
BUY·7d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 3 Hull City AFC?
-$20.00 · 3333.333334 @ 0.006
BUY·7d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 2 Hull City AFC?
-$10.00 · 1101 @ 0.009
BUY·7d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 3 Hull City AFC?
-$50.00 · 5438.7 @ 0.009
BUY·7d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
+$1.41k · 2608.695653 @ 0.460
BUY·12d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Chelsea FC on Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
+$297.82 · 960.695651 @ 0.690
BUY·12d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 2 Chelsea FC?
-$100.00 · 3800.774073 @ 0.026
BUY·12d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 3 Chelsea FC?
-$50.00 · 4919.341817 @ 0.010
BUY·12d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
-$50.00 · 2854.577221 @ 0.018
BUY·12d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 3 Chelsea FC?
-$50.00 · 2939.225 @ 0.017
BUY·12d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 3 Chelsea FC?
-$50.00 · 3333.333332 @ 0.015
BUY·13d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Over on Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
+$514.24 · 1254.237287 @ 0.590
BUY·13d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Everton FC 3 - 2 Manchester United FC?
-$50.00 · 1892.777776 @ 0.026
BUY·13d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Everton FC 3 - 1 Manchester United FC?
-$100.00 · 3368.5 @ 0.030
BUY·13d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 0 Manchester United FC?
-$100.00 · 2803.653332 @ 0.036
BUY·13d agostale·0x6686…03b6why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Everton FC 3 - 0 Manchester United FC?
-$50.00 · 3102.782351 @ 0.016
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.