No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?
— 114.63 @ 0.990
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F0
f00000
All-time PnL
$105.60
Win rate
82.1%
82 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.71
30d PnL
$105.60
30d trades
100
30d wins
32
32.0%
30d volume
$8.44k
Category edge
Weather
86.5%
-5.9pp
n=89
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
86.5% (77 wins / 12 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 7-day series
$110.19
-$70.66
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.76 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.79 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $31 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.43 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 79¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $31.25 · p90 $215.82
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 07:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 20?
— 79 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?
— 5.06 @ 0.380
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 20?
— 290 @ 0.996
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?
— 5.06 @ 0.300
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?
— 8 @ 0.930
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?
— 8 @ 0.910
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20?
— 11.81 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20?
— 174.16 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20?
— 8 @ 0.970
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20?
— 8 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?
— +$6.78 · 678.2 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?
— +$0.70 · 10 @ 0.930
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19?
— +$1.60 · 20 @ 0.920
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19?
— +$1.61 · 23.97 @ 0.933
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 19?
— +$6.08 · 152.09 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$0.50 · 25 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 19?
— +$1.38 · 23 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 19?
— -$1.00 · 50 @ 0.020
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$4.35 · 189 @ 0.977
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$5.64 · 235 @ 0.976
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$1.00 · 38.46 @ 0.974
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$5.42 · 186.82 @ 0.971
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$3.00 · 90.9 @ 0.967
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$1.00 · 32.25 @ 0.969
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 19?
— +$1.00 · 32.25 @ 0.969
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18?
— +$0.03 · 14 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18?
— +$0.08 · 7.5 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18?
— +$3.57 · 356.84 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18?
— +$3.94 · 393.69 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?
— +$1.05 · 170.43 @ 0.994
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?
— +$0.56 · 70.35 @ 0.992
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?
— +$0.31 · 34.02 @ 0.991
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?
— -$5.01 · 167 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?
— +$29.71 · 330.11 @ 0.910
No on Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18?
— -$4.00 · 20 @ 0.800
No on Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18?
— +$3.40 · 20 @ 0.830
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17?
— +$1.16 · 115.67 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 17?
— +$1.49 · 149.02 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 17?
— +$20.50 · 205 @ 0.900
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?
— -$3.10 · 10 @ 0.310
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?
— -$2.65 · 8.84 @ 0.300
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17?
— +$0.21 · 71.2 @ 0.997
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?
— +$1.62 · 147 @ 0.989
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?
— +$0.42 · 30 @ 0.986
No on Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 16?
— +$2.39 · 119.5 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 16?
— +$0.32 · 8 @ 0.960
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 16?
— +$7.25 · 15 @ 0.517
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 16?
— +$2.85 · 5.82 @ 0.510
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 16?
— +$2.45 · 5 @ 0.510
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.