Yes on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 73.19 @ 0.562
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MR
mr.ozi
All-time PnL
$11.7k
Win rate
71.4%
71 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.63k
30d PnL
$11.4k
30d trades
100
30d wins
5
5.0%
30d volume
$608.9k
Category edge
Economy
53.3%
-7.8pp
n=15
World
90.9%
+6.3pp
n=11
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
61.8% (21 wins / 13 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 7-day series
$20.4k
$0.00
Trading pattern
World-Leaningtwo-sidedmid-sizeBuy-leaning · World 52%
Why World-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 52% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.30 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.68 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1,602 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 2.25 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 68¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.60k · p90 $10.5k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 17:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 2957.56 @ 0.819
Yes on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 720 @ 0.563
Yes on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 6294 @ 0.549
No on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 17.65 @ 0.490
Yes on Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
— 2254.52 @ 0.920
Yes on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 10946.7 @ 0.490
No on Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 297.98 @ 0.989
No on Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 413.72 @ 0.900
No on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 105 @ 0.686
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 87753.67 @ 0.775
No on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 8812.2 @ 0.682
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 25000 @ 0.750
No on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 137.6 @ 0.695
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 2401.91 @ 0.750
Yes on Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
— 1200 @ 0.639
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 8000 @ 0.780
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 5943.07 @ 0.900
Yes on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 3921.34 @ 0.930
No on Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 15068.28 @ 0.700
No on Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
— 1058.13 @ 0.700
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$10.00 · 10000 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$30.00 · 5000 @ 0.006
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$650.00 · 5000 @ 0.870
Yes on Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
— 683.36 @ 0.441
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$135.00 · 15000 @ 0.009
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$90.00 · 10000 @ 0.009
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 16000 @ 0.990
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
— -$2.27 · 2271.48 @ 0.999
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 3729.76 @ 0.750
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
— +$26.50 · 500 @ 0.947
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
— +$236.00 · 4000 @ 0.941
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 5000 @ 0.988
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
— +$60.01 · 1000 @ 0.940
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
— +$10.32 · 250.95 @ 0.959
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
— +$23.80 · 539.99 @ 0.956
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
— +$143.46 · 3704.17 @ 0.961
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
— +$94.00 · 2350 @ 0.960
Yes on Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
— 5096.41 @ 0.934
No on Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
— 603.01 @ 0.320
No on Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
— 4321.54 @ 0.321
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
— +$160.05 · 3932.45 @ 0.959
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
— +$55.58 · 1462.7 @ 0.962
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
— +$32.35 · 808.78 @ 0.960
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
— 17828.66 @ 0.160
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$20.00 · 100 @ 0.800
No on Iran leadership change by December 31?
— 8738.98 @ 0.840
No on Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
— -$0.46 · 463.29 @ 0.999
No on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 1098 @ 0.886
Yes on Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
— 5000 @ 0.880
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.