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web3sergo

0x5e45…b092polymarket ↗last active 29m ago
All-time PnL
$128.86
Win rate
39.5%
39 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.44
30d PnL
$92.73
30d trades
100
30d wins
15
15.0%
30d volume
$6.36k
Category edge
Sports
27.8%
-11.8pp
n=54

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
27.8% (15 wins / 39 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 16 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 6-day series
$150.44
-$274.17
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.68 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.34Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $23Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.85 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 34¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $23.04 · p90 $146.40
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·29m ago·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Will Venezia FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
724.906223 @ 0.400
BUY·39m ago·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5 AND Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
367.128209 @ 0.263
BUY·2h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19?
-$21.00 · 300 @ 0.070
BUY·2h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
50 @ 0.370
BUY·2h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?
50 @ 0.600
BUY·2h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score
83 @ 0.590
BUY·3h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score AND Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?
388.986819 @ 0.145
BUY·4h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
No on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$30.00 · 107.142858 @ 0.280
BUY·4h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
No on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$5.00 · 55.555556 @ 0.090
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
-$9.45 · 17.5 @ 0.540
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5 AND Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 AND Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5 AND RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5 AND SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score AND VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
97.175547 @ 0.098
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5) AND Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5) AND SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5 AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
207.266605 @ 0.023
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
No on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$48.75 · 125 @ 0.390
SELL·5h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$0.38 · 96 @ 0.996
BUY·8h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19?
-$24.50 · 70 @ 0.350
BUY·8h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 AND VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score AND Will Venezia FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?
378.117289 @ 0.127
BUY·8h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 3.5 AND Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-19?
223.7907 @ 0.021
BUY·9h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$72.00 · 96 @ 0.250
BUY·9h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) AND Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
183.039544 @ 0.052
BUY·9h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score AND Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-19?
66.548381 @ 0.144
BUY·20h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5) AND Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5) AND SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5 AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
680.726566 @ 0.014
BUY·21h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) AND Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?
1587.75699 @ 0.006
BUY·21h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) AND Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) AND Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?
85.490016 @ 0.112
SELL·22h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
on FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5 AND VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 AND SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to Score AND Will Konyaspor win on 2026-09-18?
203.217724 @ 0.997
BUY·23h agoageing·0x5e45…b092why? →
Under on FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5
-$9.30 · 45 @ 0.207
BUY·1d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Konyaspor win on 2026-09-18?
-$10.00 · 47.619048 @ 0.210
BUY·1d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score AND AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score AND RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: Elche CF O/U 0.5
475.287084 @ 0.305
BUY·1d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5 AND VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 AND SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to Score AND Will Konyaspor win on 2026-09-18?
203.217724 @ 0.237
SELL·1d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?
-$0.29 · 285 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5 AND Juventus FC vs. NEC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5
39.732291 @ 0.997
SELL·1d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5 AND Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17?
159.318268 @ 0.228
SELL·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
-$33.00 · 825 @ 0.960
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?
+$88.35 · 285 @ 0.690
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Over on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
-$4.75 · 24 @ 0.198
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) AND Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) AND Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5) AND Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5 AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?
850.035821 @ 0.011
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 AND Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) AND Juventus FC vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score AND Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17?
211.149106 @ 0.045
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5 AND Juventus FC vs. NEC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5
39.732291 @ 0.242
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5 AND Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17?
159.318271 @ 0.303
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score AND Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5 AND PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5
147.00055 @ 0.183
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
+$26.25 · 75 @ 0.650
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
+$262.50 · 750 @ 0.650
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Exact Score: FC Astana 2 - 2 FC Kairat Almaty?
-$1.00 · 27.777778 @ 0.036
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Over on FC Astana vs. FC Kairat Almaty: FC Kairat Almaty O/U 1.5
-$10.00 · 100 @ 0.100
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Over on FC Astana vs. FC Kairat Almaty: O/U 3.5
-$10.00 · 41.666667 @ 0.240
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Yes on Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2026-09-17?
-$49.50 · 150 @ 0.330
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 AND OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5 AND Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5 AND FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5 AND Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 AND Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 1.5 AND Juventus FC vs. NEC: O/U 2.5 AND Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5 AND Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 AND PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5 AND Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5
191.383925 @ 0.025
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5) AND Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) AND Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score AND Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5 AND Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?
529.327993 @ 0.009
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
on OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 1.5 AND Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17?
144.972031 @ 0.066
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
FC Barcelona on 2nd Half Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
+$19.22 · 39.215687 @ 0.510
BUY·2d agostale·0x5e45…b092why? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5
-$63.00 · 150 @ 0.420
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.