⌘K

MA

mangonen

0x5dee…30b1polymarket ↗last active 25m ago

All-time PnL

-$1.21k

Win rate

57.1%

57 of 100

Total trades

100

Avg PnL / trade

-$28.83

30d PnL

-$1.21k

30d trades

100

30d wins

24

24.0%

30d volume

$12.9k

Category edge

Crypto

100.0%

+56.1pp

n=5

Sports

30.0%

-21.6pp

n=40

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate

55.1% (54 wins / 44 misses)

⚠ Possible wash trade

opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independently

Cumulative PnL · 5-day series

$37.28

-$1.32k

Trading pattern

Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 89%

Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades

Category focus: Sports 89% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.

Directional bias: +0.90 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.

Entry pricing: avg 0.65 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.

Typical position size: median $47 — Small typical stake (<$500).

Sizing consistency: CV 1.70 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price

0–10¢90–100¢

avg 65¢ · 100 trades

Position sizing

<$100$10k+

median $47.37 · p90 $400.00

Activity · UTC

00h12h23h

peak Wed 17:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT

↑BUY·25m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

— -$250.00 · 452.002806 @ 0.553

↓SELL·26m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

— -$95.36 · 132.28 @ 0.279

↑BUY·27m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

— +$32.29 · 132.28947 @ 0.756

↑BUY·28m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner

— 102.569555 @ 0.906

↑BUY·31m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

— +$16.28 · 116.279064 @ 0.860

↑BUY·41m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

— +$13.64 · 113.636358 @ 0.880

↑BUY·45m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

— +$40.40 · 140.404028 @ 0.712

↑BUY·57m ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

— +$28.51 · 128.506409 @ 0.778

↑BUY·1h ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

— +$2.04 · 102.0408 @ 0.980

↑BUY·1h ago·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

— 122.75 @ 0.640

↑BUY·3h agoageing·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner

— +$6.54 · 93.451613 @ 0.930

↑BUY·10h agoageing·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

— -$6.21 · 8.871429 @ 0.700

↑BUY·10h agoageing·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

— -$31.37 · 74.690477 @ 0.420

↑BUY·11h agoageing·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

— +$423.71 · 1423.710269 @ 0.702

↑BUY·11h agoageing·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

— -$27.65 · 62.84091 @ 0.440

↑BUY·12h agoageing·0x5dee…30b1why? →

JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

— +$6.25 · 78.076087 @ 0.920

↑BUY·13h agoageing·0x5dee…30b1why? →

JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

— -$74.82 · 105.380282 @ 0.710

↑BUY·1d agostale·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Invictus Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner

— -$23.93 · 61.358975 @ 0.390

↑BUY·1d agostale·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner

— +$16.61 · 92.268293 @ 0.820

↑BUY·1d agostale·0x5dee…30b1why? →

Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

— +$36.57 · 96.241936 @ 0.620