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5D

0x5d27…45e4

0x5d27…45e4polymarket ↗last active 16m ago
All-time PnL
-$182.12
Win rate
96.6%
97 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$3.09
30d PnL
-$221.44
30d trades
91
30d wins
50
54.9%
30d volume
$57.4k
Category edge
Crypto
68.7%
+17.9pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
68.7% (68 wins / 31 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 9-day series
$191.54
-$707.12
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.97Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $814Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.63 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 97¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $813.98 · p90 $1.09k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 07:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·16m ago·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
195.5 @ 0.990
BUY·20m ago·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
+$1.94 · 193.7 @ 0.990
BUY·29m ago·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
+$0.02 · 15 @ 0.999
BUY·46m ago·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
+$1.92 · 191.7 @ 0.990
SELL·49m ago·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
-$5.78 · 192.5 @ 0.970
BUY·50m ago·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$5.78 · 192.5 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$1.91 · 190.7 @ 0.990
SELL·10d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
-$452.62 · 650.79 @ 0.305
BUY·10d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$6.45 · 644.7 @ 0.990
SELL·10d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
-$1.46 · 162.22 @ 0.991
BUY·10d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$6.39 · 639 @ 0.990
SELL·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
+$18.54 · 39.44 @ 0.470
SELL·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
+$635.49 · 1172.36 @ 0.542
BUY·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
-$1.20k · 1211.8 @ 0.990
BUY·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
+$11.99 · 1199.4 @ 0.990
BUY·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
+$11.88 · 1188.2 @ 0.990
BUY·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
+$10.48 · 1047.58 @ 0.990
BUY·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
+$11.66 · 1166 @ 0.990
BUY·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
+$2.73 · 273.06 @ 0.990
BUY·13d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
+$0.09 · 87.81 @ 0.999
SELL·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
-$1.83 · 185.95 @ 0.990
BUY·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
+$11.54 · 1154.3 @ 0.990
SELL·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
-$0.00 · 0.1 @ 0.990
SELL·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
-$11.55 · 1155 @ 0.990
BUY·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
+$4.77 · 568.08 @ 0.992
SELL·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
-$0.00 · 0.1 @ 0.990
BUY·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$11.51 · 1150.8 @ 0.990
BUY·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
+$11.40 · 1140.1 @ 0.990
BUY·14d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
+$13.57 · 1127.4 @ 0.988
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
+$11.15 · 1115 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
+$11.05 · 1104.7 @ 0.990
SELL·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
-$0.00 · 0.14 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
+$11.05 · 1105.4 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
+$1.10 · 1095.1 @ 0.999
SELL·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
-$1.85 · 926.45 @ 0.998
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
+$0.50 · 500 @ 0.999
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
+$10.95 · 1095.4 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
+$10.85 · 1085.2 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
+$10.64 · 1064.4 @ 0.990
SELL·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
-$0.00 · 0.1 @ 0.990
SELL·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
-$10.65 · 1065 @ 0.990
SELL·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
-$1.06 · 1055.3 @ 0.999
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
+$10.55 · 1055.3 @ 0.990
SELL·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
-$0.62 · 616.8 @ 0.999
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
+$10.40 · 1040 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$4.65 · 465 @ 0.990
BUY·19d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
+$2.00 · 200 @ 0.990
BUY·19d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
+$10.21 · 1020.5 @ 0.990
SELL·19d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
-$10.22 · 1021.9 @ 0.990
BUY·19d agostale·0x5d27…45e4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
+$10.22 · 1021.9 @ 0.990
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.