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0x5Cd3a63Ad643AF2C6b00386407399547880ee427-1781635788496

0x5cd3…e427polymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
$837.00
Win rate
80.0%
80 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$15.22
30d PnL
$837.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
44
44.0%
30d volume
$29.2k
Category edge
Sports
50.5%
+0.4pp
n=95

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
50.5% (48 wins / 47 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 37 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 13-day series
$743.43
-$712.55
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.18 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.78Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.33 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 78¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $783.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5
116.279064 @ 0.860
BUY·22m ago·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer
161.675644 @ 0.619
BUY·23m ago·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
365.853655 @ 0.820
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
No on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Score in First Half
+$24.64 · 124.641973 @ 0.802
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$25.76 · 75.757576 @ 0.660
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
+$22.79 · 92.794737 @ 0.754
SELL·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score
+$79.17 · 208.33 @ 0.380
SELL·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$0.09 · 86.2 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$0.07 · 72.46 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?
-$0.22 · 222.22 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?
+$122.22 · 222.222223 @ 0.450
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$22.46 · 72.463767 @ 0.690
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$36.21 · 86.206897 @ 0.580
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score
-$100.00 · 208.333334 @ 0.480
SELL·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
+$35.52 · 111.73 @ 0.318
BUY·1d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
-$50.00 · 111.739131 @ 0.447
BUY·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer
+$23.43 · 73.427825 @ 0.681
BUY·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Patrik Schick: Anytime Goalscorer
-$50.00 · 71.97257 @ 0.695
BUY·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$12.36 · 112.359545 @ 0.890
BUY·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
+$22.00 · 275 @ 0.920
SELL·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
-$2.68 · 140.84 @ 0.981
SELL·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$0.14 · 135.13 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
No on FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score in First Half
-$50.00 · 64.358972 @ 0.777
SELL·2d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$49.39 · 149.66 @ 0.670
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer
+$66.77 · 166.773016 @ 0.600
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$49.67 · 149.667463 @ 0.668
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$35.14 · 135.135134 @ 0.740
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
+$40.85 · 140.845071 @ 0.710
SELL·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
SELL·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
-$0.12 · 120.48 @ 0.999
SELL·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer
-$1.41 · 140.84 @ 0.990
SELL·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$0.36 · 361.44 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
+$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer
+$40.85 · 140.845068 @ 0.710
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
+$20.48 · 120.481923 @ 0.830
BUY·3d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$61.45 · 361.445782 @ 0.830
SELL·5d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
-$76.44 · 1162.79 @ 0.934
SELL·5d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$0.11 · 109.09 @ 0.999
SELL·5d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$0.59 · 588.23 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$88.24 · 588.235293 @ 0.850
BUY·5d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$49.09 · 109.090908 @ 0.550
SELL·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$0.72 · 72.46 @ 0.990
BUY·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$22.46 · 72.463767 @ 0.690
SELL·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
-$0.08 · 75.75 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
+$25.76 · 75.757576 @ 0.660
BUY·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
+$162.79 · 1162.790698 @ 0.860
SELL·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 2.5
-$0.08 · 84.74 @ 0.999
SELL·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Yes on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?
-$4.07 · 581.39 @ 0.993
BUY·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 2.5
+$34.75 · 84.745763 @ 0.590
SELL·6d agostale·0x5cd3…e427why? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$0.82 · 820.25 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.