No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 20?
— 300 @ 0.998
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ST
stear
All-time PnL
$125.86
Win rate
56.1%
56 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.53
30d PnL
$125.86
30d trades
100
30d wins
46
46.0%
30d volume
$1.48k
Category edge
Crypto
57.9%
-9.3pp
n=95
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
57.9% (55 wins / 40 misses)Cumulative PnL · 8-day series
$137.21
-$43.42
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 96%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 96% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.45 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $4 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.73 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 45¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $3.70 · p90 $27.60
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Wed 18:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C or below on September 20?
— 200 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20?
— 27.88 @ 0.990
Up on HYPE Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET
— +$2.70 · 5 @ 0.460
Up on HYPE Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET
— +$11.10 · 20 @ 0.445
Up on HYPE Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET
— +$2.85 · 5 @ 0.430
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20?
— 200 @ 0.988
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11PM ET
— -$25.80 · 60 @ 0.430
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - September 19, 8PM ET
— -$2.20 · 5 @ 0.440
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
— -$0.04 · 0.13 @ 0.270
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 19, 6PM ET
— -$0.95 · 5 @ 0.190
Up on XRP Up or Down on September 20?
— 6 @ 0.250
Down on Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— +$27.00 · 50 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— +$8.00 · 20 @ 0.600
Up on XRP Up or Down - September 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— -$1.08 · 18 @ 0.060
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10AM ET
— +$6.17 · 13.41 @ 0.540
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 3AM ET
— -$4.75 · 25 @ 0.190
Up on HYPE Up or Down - September 18, 9PM ET
— +$3.35 · 5 @ 0.330
Down on Dogecoin Up or Down on September 19?
— -$2.50 · 5 @ 0.500
Down on Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?
— -$1.02 · 6 @ 0.170
Down on XRP Up or Down on September 19?
— -$1.20 · 6 @ 0.200
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 18, 2PM ET
— -$1.05 · 2.85 @ 0.370
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down on September 19?
— +$2.45 · 5 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET
— -$26.60 · 60 @ 0.443
Up on Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
— +$24.95 · 53.08 @ 0.530
Down on BNB Up or Down on September 18?
— -$0.65 · 5 @ 0.130
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ET
— +$2.82 · 6 @ 0.530
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ET
— -$5.50 · 25 @ 0.220
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10AM ET
— +$30.00 · 60 @ 0.500
Up on BNB Up or Down on September 17?
— +$0.75 · 5 @ 0.850
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 17, 8AM ET
— +$12.40 · 20 @ 0.380
Down on HYPE Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ET
— +$3.10 · 10 @ 0.690
Down on BNB Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ET
— +$2.50 · 5 @ 0.500
Down on XRP Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ET
— -$0.27 · 0.71 @ 0.380
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ET
— +$26.20 · 39 @ 0.328
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET
— -$0.82 · 5.8 @ 0.141
Up on BNB Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET
— +$4.98 · 5.75 @ 0.134
Up on BNB Up or Down - September 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
— -$16.83 · 44.3 @ 0.380
Down on HYPE Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET
— +$4.00 · 7.55 @ 0.470
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— +$0.71 · 1.43 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET
— +$2.40 · 5.1 @ 0.530
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— +$0.26 · 0.35 @ 0.250
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— -$1.90 · 10 @ 0.190
Up on BNB Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET
— +$8.93 · 19.41 @ 0.540
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— -$3.86 · 7.88 @ 0.490
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET
— +$10.41 · 18.93 @ 0.450
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
— +$7.20 · 10 @ 0.280
Up on Ethereum Up or Down on September 17?
— +$3.30 · 6 @ 0.450
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
— +$25.08 · 42.51 @ 0.410
Up on Solana Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET
— +$12.20 · 20 @ 0.390
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.