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cantwinwin

0x597d…7c30polymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
-$924.05
Win rate
91.1%
91 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$11.70
30d PnL
-$924.05
30d trades
100
30d wins
72
72.0%
30d volume
$48.8k
Category edge
Crypto
85.1%
-2.4pp
n=94

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
85.1% (80 wins / 14 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 2 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$239.27
-$924.05
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.96 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.85Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $525Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.46 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 85¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $525.00 · p90 $750.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 01:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·20m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
72.448572 @ 0.552
BUY·20m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
72.727273 @ 0.550
BUY·20m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
75.471697 @ 0.530
BUY·20m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
75.471697 @ 0.530
BUY·20m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
75.471697 @ 0.530
BUY·20m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
412.76 @ 0.549
BUY·22m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
-$460.00 · 509.244611 @ 0.903
BUY·27m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
+$10.62 · 470.62255 @ 0.977
BUY·31m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
+$4.34 · 434.3434 @ 0.990
BUY·31m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
+$5.96 · 435.9585 @ 0.986
BUY·37m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
+$8.41 · 438.4051 @ 0.981
BUY·42m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$6.08 · 436.0808 @ 0.986
BUY·47m ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
+$29.58 · 459.580516 @ 0.936
BUY·1h ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$18.47 · 448.4653 @ 0.959
BUY·1h ago·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$121.50 · 491.500525 @ 0.753
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
-$40.00 · 80 @ 0.500
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
-$400.00 · 838.755103 @ 0.477
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$145.69 · 2486 @ 0.059
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$44.30 · 1154.69 @ 0.038
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$43.74 · 3197.84 @ 0.014
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$101.28 · 1168 @ 0.087
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$107.62 · 967.67 @ 0.111
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$67.37 · 514.95 @ 0.131
BUY·5h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
+$24.90 · 524.895825 @ 0.953
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
+$37.63 · 537.6344 @ 0.930
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
+$5.96 · 385.9562 @ 0.985
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
+$43.48 · 543.47825 @ 0.920
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
+$10.07 · 390.0714 @ 0.974
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
+$15.46 · 515.463918 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
+$35.00 · 875 @ 0.960
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
+$58.78 · 848.776583 @ 0.931
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
+$7.88 · 787.8787 @ 0.990
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
+$15.71 · 785.71425 @ 0.980
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
+$51.04 · 771.044466 @ 0.934
BUY·6h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
+$28.31 · 718.3071 @ 0.961
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$1.24 · 41.2371 @ 0.970
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$31.81 · 641.811025 @ 0.950
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
+$54.06 · 664.057275 @ 0.919
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
+$86.11 · 616.113561 @ 0.860
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
+$15.77 · 525.773196 @ 0.970
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
+$48.74 · 518.736255 @ 0.906
SELL·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
+$17.80 · 593.35 @ 0.030
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
+$18.82 · 448.821333 @ 0.958
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
-$450.00 · 593.353247 @ 0.758
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
+$135.88 · 905.882353 @ 0.850
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
-$780.00 · 838.572766 @ 0.930
BUY·7h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
+$31.67 · 791.66665 @ 0.960
BUY·8h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
+$7.68 · 767.6767 @ 0.990
BUY·8h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
+$31.61 · 781.609766 @ 0.960
BUY·8h agoageing·0x597d…7c30why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
+$15.10 · 755.102 @ 0.980
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.