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0x576ad892300c494f18bB2F979CA4Ef0Fb08d8148-1774191370490

0x576a…8148polymarket ↗last active 38m ago
All-time PnL
$27.17
Win rate
60.6%
35 of 57
Total trades
57
Avg PnL / trade
$0.82
30d PnL
$226.48
30d trades
15
30d wins
3
20.0%
30d volume
$1.82k
Category edge
Crypto
55.3%
+2.8pp
n=47

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
53.1% (26 wins / 23 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 9 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$46.45
-$290.90
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 96%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 57 trades
Category focus: Crypto 96% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.61 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.56Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $97Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.86 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 56¢ · 57 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $96.97 · p90 $196.42
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 17:00 · 57 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·38m ago·0x576a…8148why? →
on Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Jay Clarke AND Biella: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alex Barrena
470.109236 @ 0.996
BUY·18h agoageing·0x576a…8148why? →
on Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Jay Clarke AND Biella: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alex Barrena
470.109236 @ 0.308
BUY·18h agoageing·0x576a…8148why? →
on Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Jay Clarke AND Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Petr Bar Biryukov AND Biella: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alex Barrena AND Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luka Mikrut
339.783751 @ 0.141
BUY·1d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
on Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oriol Roca Batalla AND Szczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut AND Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat Sharipov
366.764393 @ 0.220
BUY·3d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
on Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone AND Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Pavel Lagutin
568.731275 @ 0.353
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Pavel Lagutin on Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri
-$100.00 · 147.058821 @ 0.680
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Pavel Lagutin on Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri
-$17.45 · 40 @ 0.436
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
on Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri AND Genoa: Francesco Passaro vs Juan Pablo Varillas
445.630625 @ 0.216
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
-$25.00 · 40.983607 @ 0.610
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
+$11.76 · 36.764706 @ 0.680
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
+$11.76 · 36.764706 @ 0.680
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$11.23 · 36.231883 @ 0.690
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$10.93 · 35.92857 @ 0.696
BUY·9d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
on Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Zandschulp (+2.5) AND Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Blockx (+2.5)
418.518215 @ 0.465
BUY·11d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
on US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova AND US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
803.98584 @ 0.429
SELL·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$60.12 · 403.47 @ 0.149
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
-$49.17 · 204.867752 @ 0.240
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
-$96.88 · 193.75 @ 0.500
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$38.83 · 95.110522 @ 0.408
SELL·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$58.32 · 239.72 @ 0.243
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
-$39.62 · 238.572651 @ 0.166
SELL·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
+$5.22 · 173.9 @ 0.030
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$32.75 · 130.989592 @ 0.750
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
-$48.46 · 89.113304 @ 0.544
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
-$96.91 · 210.684523 @ 0.460
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
-$48.62 · 128.787432 @ 0.378
SELL·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
-$115.30 · 176.75 @ 0.348
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
+$125.96 · 174.942647 @ 0.280
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
-$29.07 · 61.189632 @ 0.475
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$75.98 · 172.945302 @ 0.561
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$62.13 · 159.295385 @ 0.610
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
-$98.19 · 131.841124 @ 0.745
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
+$27.79 · 126.317547 @ 0.780
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$59.59 · 156.813941 @ 0.620
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
+$86.29 · 183.188122 @ 0.529
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
+$43.44 · 141.1687 @ 0.692
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
+$36.27 · 134.32546 @ 0.730
SELL·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
-$0.30 · 303.4 @ 0.999
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
+$3.41 · 303.394572 @ 0.989
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
-$48.72 · 141.375312 @ 0.345
BUY·180d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
+$38.24 · 136.196372 @ 0.719
BUY·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
+$50.22 · 147.70037 @ 0.660
SELL·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
+$15.98 · 145.31 @ 0.110
BUY·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
-$97.63 · 143.577241 @ 0.680
BUY·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
-$78.80 · 101.471164 @ 0.777
BUY·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
-$97.90 · 137.441105 @ 0.712
SELL·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
-$1.02 · 102.03 @ 0.990
BUY·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
+$2.04 · 102.02122 @ 0.980
BUY·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
-$97.97 · 136.066505 @ 0.720
BUY·181d agostale·0x576a…8148why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
+$50.22 · 147.70037 @ 0.660
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.