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0x99d42ca478363490C389E58d6503c47458e48852-1775587363256

0x553b…6bebpolymarket ↗last active 45m ago
All-time PnL
$5.03k
Win rate
72.7%
73 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$152.39
30d PnL
$5.28k
30d trades
66
30d wins
17
25.8%
30d volume
$30.0k
Category edge
Sports
42.3%
-8.8pp
n=26

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.3% (11 wins / 15 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 21 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 13-day series
$135.66
-$752.08
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.62Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $249Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.97 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 62¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $249.21 · p90 $716.11
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·45m ago·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?
493.760665 @ 0.612
BUY·1d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
308.047748 @ 0.595
BUY·2d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5 AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?
187.338344 @ 0.607
BUY·3d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) AND FC Barcelona leading at halftime? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?
666.069741 @ 0.560
BUY·4d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Falkirk FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
380.351228 @ 0.662
BUY·5d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
256.194432 @ 0.530
BUY·6d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?
258.3087 @ 0.631
BUY·6d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?
880.721231 @ 0.595
BUY·7d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
534.706564 @ 0.403
BUY·8d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5 AND Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-11? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12?
553.535073 @ 0.290
BUY·9d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer AND Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
603.365944 @ 0.493
SELL·9d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer AND Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?
306.737518 @ 0.992
BUY·10d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer AND Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?
306.737518 @ 0.529
SELL·10d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08? AND Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?
836.623741 @ 0.994
SELL·10d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?
1687.365466 @ 0.948
BUY·11d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08? AND Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?
836.623741 @ 0.257
BUY·11d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?
1687.365466 @ 0.319
BUY·11d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 AND Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-07?
532.776621 @ 0.509
BUY·11d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5) AND Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) AND Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5
1130.137846 @ 0.480
BUY·11d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07?
387.134555 @ 0.476
SELL·12d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
-$0.36 · 361.66 @ 0.999
BUY·12d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
+$144.67 · 361.666665 @ 0.600
SELL·13d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
-$54.51 · 2271.23 @ 0.976
BUY·13d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
+$522.38 · 2271.233765 @ 0.770
SELL·13d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Sporting CP leading at halftime? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-05?
1775.221412 @ 0.998
BUY·13d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Sporting CP leading at halftime? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-05?
1775.221412 @ 0.306
BUY·13d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Over on CS Marítimo vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
-$801.79 · 2505.90625 @ 0.320
BUY·14d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on CS Marítimo vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?
651.748282 @ 0.585
BUY·14d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-05?
572.608484 @ 0.376
BUY·14d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) AND Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) AND TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) AND Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? AND Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-05?
651.814977 @ 0.247
BUY·14d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04? AND Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-04? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? AND Will Club Brugge win on 2026-09-04?
879.205239 @ 0.319
SELL·14d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Viborg FF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5 AND Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?
290.632597 @ 0.998
BUY·15d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Viborg FF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5 AND Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?
290.632597 @ 0.559
BUY·16d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Yes on Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-03?
+$114.91 · 359.088234 @ 0.680
SELL·16d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Yes on Will Al Ahli Doha SC win on 2026-09-03?
-$0.25 · 248.67 @ 0.999
BUY·16d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Yes on Will Al Ahli Doha SC win on 2026-09-03?
+$85.29 · 248.676118 @ 0.657
SELL·16d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on FC Salzburg vs. SK Rapid: O/U 1.5 AND US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 0.5 AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-02?
509.449905 @ 0.998
SELL·16d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 1.5 AND Udinese Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5 AND Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5 AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
1047.693776 @ 0.998
BUY·17d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 1.5 AND Udinese Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5 AND Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5 AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
1047.693776 @ 0.518
BUY·17d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on FC Salzburg vs. SK Rapid: O/U 1.5 AND US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 0.5 AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-02?
509.449905 @ 0.531
BUY·20d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?
958.120043 @ 0.626
BUY·20d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
371.041361 @ 0.508
BUY·21d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? AND BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
1840.759531 @ 0.440
BUY·21d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score AND Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-08-29?
937.282682 @ 0.403
BUY·21d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?
-$215.28 · 439.346937 @ 0.490
BUY·21d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? AND Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
300.940925 @ 0.539
BUY·21d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
353.657615 @ 0.460
BUY·21d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?
356.484681 @ 0.608
SELL·22d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
on Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? AND Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-27?
670.620435 @ 0.998
SELL·22d agostale·0x553b…6bebwhy? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-27?
-$1.07 · 1069.04 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.