No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 308.37 @ 0.930
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0X
0x52859254EB75c2C61d77133CB9A1C16C326d1Cc5-1774614032604
All-time PnL
-$746.42
Win rate
75.0%
75 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$96.21
30d PnL
-$769.65
30d trades
100
30d wins
6
6.0%
30d volume
$13.6k
Category edge
Politics
65.5%
+4.2pp
n=84
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
65.5% (55 wins / 29 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 6-day series
$0.00
-$908.08
Trading pattern
Politics Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Politics 100%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.78 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $111 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.85 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 78¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $111.36 · p90 $221.26
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 14:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 180.3584 @ 0.938
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 220 @ 0.920
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 178.747244 @ 0.906
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 221.8 @ 0.873
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 90.11 @ 0.860
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 221.116546 @ 0.856
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 220 @ 0.876
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 220 @ 0.910
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 182 @ 0.900
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 215.056172 @ 0.890
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 214.634144 @ 0.820
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 181.176466 @ 0.844
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 175.662647 @ 0.830
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 205.42 @ 0.790
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 217.38095 @ 0.840
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$11.36 · 232.624393 @ 0.951
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— -$2.31 · 185.89 @ 0.988
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$1.35 · 221.351 @ 0.994
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— -$2.12 · 221.16 @ 0.990
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$1.16 · 221.1635 @ 0.995
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$1.25 · 221.2504 @ 0.994
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$2.61 · 182.249615 @ 0.986
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$3.95 · 221.532 @ 0.982
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$3.46 · 221.042666 @ 0.984
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— -$1.23 · 72.36 @ 0.983
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$2.02 · 221.35575 @ 0.991
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— -$0.36 · 27.7 @ 0.987
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$0.32 · 70.18275 @ 0.995
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$0.78 · 70.778545 @ 0.989
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$1.01 · 50.5612 @ 0.980
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$1.27 · 50.62052 @ 0.975
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$2.83 · 70.729167 @ 0.960
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— -$6.06 · 121.15 @ 0.950
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$1.90 · 50.404833 @ 0.962
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$2.83 · 70.72915 @ 0.960
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$3.54 · 50.537628 @ 0.930
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$3.63 · 50.1258 @ 0.928
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$4.04 · 50.543475 @ 0.920
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— +$6.23 · 69.230766 @ 0.910
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$9.34 · 121.300103 @ 0.923
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$10.32 · 121.442623 @ 0.915
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$7.08 · 70.77777 @ 0.900
No on Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$26.84 · 61 @ 0.560
No on Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$28.00 · 70 @ 0.600
No on Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$27.75 · 71.147541 @ 0.610
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$8.00 · 120.802303 @ 0.934
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$9.06 · 120.66368 @ 0.925
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$6.33 · 70.663 @ 0.910
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$7.82 · 70.81811 @ 0.890
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.