No on US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
— 245 @ 0.095
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0X
0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815
All-time PnL
$270.97
Win rate
40.0%
40 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$54.19
30d PnL
$270.97
30d trades
100
30d wins
2
2.0%
30d volume
$13.9k
Signal hit rate
n=2 signals — too few to judge⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$2.74
Trading pattern
Other-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizelongshot-hunterBuy-leaning · Other 53%
Why Other-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Other 53% of categorized trades — a lean toward Other without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.36 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.30 — Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $80 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.31 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 30¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $80.00 · p90 $320.13
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 19:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
— 662.63 @ 0.210
Yes on US strike on Cuba by December 31?
— 2000 @ 0.330
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?
— 1142.77 @ 0.956
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 572.285713 @ 0.349
Yes on China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
— 758.26 @ 0.184
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 8 @ 0.320
Yes on Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
— 1953.9 @ 0.055
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 8.49 @ 0.310
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 95.99 @ 0.390
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 10.99 @ 0.370
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 165 @ 0.390
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 243.99 @ 0.390
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 257.80205 @ 0.388
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 135.659458 @ 0.369
No on Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
— 786.35 @ 0.624
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 722.110539 @ 0.277
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
— 3301.65 @ 0.070
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?
— 15.11 @ 0.430
Yes on Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
— 1018.24 @ 0.155
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 600 @ 0.350
Yes on Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
— 3388.75 @ 0.164
Yes on Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
— 141.29 @ 0.302
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 113.446807 @ 0.467
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 5 @ 0.460
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 5 @ 0.420
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 1000 @ 0.300
No on Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
— 836.53 @ 0.680
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 1000 @ 0.300
Yes on Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
— 2640.4 @ 0.054
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?
— 188.679244 @ 0.530
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?
— 239.32 @ 0.530
Yes on Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
— 1825.06 @ 0.104
Yes on Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
— 1825.06 @ 0.112
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?
— 100 @ 0.530
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 600 @ 0.500
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 235.475 @ 0.386
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 23.52 @ 0.490
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 100 @ 0.300
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 203.469 @ 0.393
Yes on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
— 2625.84 @ 0.221
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 1169.305101 @ 0.454
Yes on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
— 1922.37 @ 0.110
Yes on Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
— 815.83 @ 0.392
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 1953.34089 @ 0.358
Yes on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
— 2082.55 @ 0.110
Yes on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
— 4004.92 @ 0.110
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
— 100 @ 0.370
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
— 41.6 @ 0.430
Yes on Cuban regime falls in 2026?
— 783.71 @ 0.147
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.