No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 1000 @ 0.900
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CA
CARXE
All-time PnL
$202.73
Win rate
64.1%
64 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$3.95
30d PnL
$153.99
30d trades
100
30d wins
25
25.0%
30d volume
$26.4k
Category edge
Economy
83.3%
+23.3pp
n=6
Sports
66.7%
+20.0pp
n=12
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
67.8% (40 wins / 19 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 9 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 18-day series
$1.27k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Sports 42%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 42% of categorized trades — a lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.61 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $67 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.79 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 61¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $67.45 · p90 $880.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 00:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 11.39 @ 0.510
No on Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
— 1163 @ 0.999
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest AND UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
— 51.707911 @ 0.092
on Spread: Texas Tech (-7.5) AND Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)
— 36.940072 @ 0.261
Yes on Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 43.1 @ 0.670
on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs AND LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
— 57.048172 @ 0.426
on Dolphins vs. 49ers AND Saints vs. Ravens AND Commanders vs. Cowboys AND Packers vs. Jets AND Eagles vs. Titans AND Steelers vs. Patriots AND Bengals vs. Texans AND Colts vs. Chiefs
— 42.15341 @ 0.068
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
— +$25.24 · 140.2439 @ 0.820
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
— +$64.29 · 214.285713 @ 0.700
No on Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
— 1000 @ 0.980
No on Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
— 163 @ 0.979
No on 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
— 1300 @ 0.900
No on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
— 80 @ 0.991
No on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
— 1618.63 @ 0.961
on Dolphins vs. 49ers AND Spread: Patriots (-5.5) AND Saints vs. Ravens AND Eagles vs. Titans AND Bengals vs. Texans AND Colts vs. Chiefs
— 387.860338 @ 0.123
on Seahawks vs. Cardinals AND Dolphins vs. 49ers AND Lions vs. Bills AND Eagles vs. Titans AND Colts vs. Chiefs
— 312.653816 @ 0.231
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$120.00 · 1000 @ 0.880
on Browns vs. Jaguars AND Falcons vs. Steelers AND Cowboys vs. Giants
— 282.496617 @ 0.232
Ravens on Ravens vs. Colts
— -$73.36 · 366.78 @ 0.800
on Browns vs. Jaguars AND Saints vs. Lions AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
— 266.25827 @ 0.364
Bilibili Gaming on Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)
— -$79.00 · 121.538462 @ 0.650
Bilibili Gaming on Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)
— -$100.00 · 153.846154 @ 0.650
Jean Silva on Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)
— +$53.16 · 253.164557 @ 0.790
Jean Silva on Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)
— +$58.48 · 278.481009 @ 0.790
on Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) AND Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
— 239.300544 @ 0.406
on Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) AND Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
— 107.816781 @ 0.405
on Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) AND Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
— 23.537934 @ 0.413
Marwan Rahiki on Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
— -$80.00 · 200 @ 0.400
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner
— -$45.71 · 95.22 @ 0.480
Texas on Spread: Texas (-1.5)
— -$13.00 · 25 @ 0.520
on Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
— 96.533587 @ 0.505
Tim Elliott on Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
— +$49.83 · 60 @ 0.170
on Browns vs. Jaguars AND Falcons vs. Steelers AND Cowboys vs. Giants
— 282.49662 @ 0.343
GIANTX on LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
— +$33.70 · 100 @ 0.663
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$36.00 · 200 @ 0.180
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$408.00 · 2400 @ 0.170
49ers on 49ers vs. Rams
— +$10.00 · 200 @ 0.950
No on LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— +$17.07 · 387.87 @ 0.956
No on LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— +$18.60 · 372.04 @ 0.950
Yes on Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
— -$11.25 · 36.29 @ 0.310
Yes on Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,900?
— +$3.00 · 50 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?
— +$0.10 · 10 @ 0.990
Yes on Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
— 397.79 @ 0.959
Bilibili Gaming on Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)
— +$40.00 · 100 @ 0.600
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
— +$38.96 · 779.14 @ 0.950
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner
— -$5.70 · 10 @ 0.570
No on Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
— 178.68 @ 0.739
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
— -$47.91 · 208.304346 @ 0.230
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.