No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 631.809 @ 0.995
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50
0x50ea…010f
All-time PnL
-$15.58
Win rate
20.0%
20 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.04
30d PnL
-$0.04
30d trades
64
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$30.1k
Category edge
World
50.0%
-20.6pp
n=6
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
54.5% (6 wins / 5 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 21 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 3-day series
$0.06
$0.00
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBalanced · World 85%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 85% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.06 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.95 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $85 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.06 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 95¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $85.24 · p90 $735.96
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 21:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
— 683.81 @ 0.996
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
— 683.811333 @ 0.997
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 85.66 @ 0.994
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 85.6682 @ 0.995
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 85.32 @ 0.998
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 85.325 @ 0.999
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 85.49 @ 0.996
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 85.496333 @ 0.997
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 85.49 @ 0.996
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 85.496333 @ 0.997
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 777.83 @ 0.994
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 777.839 @ 0.995
No on Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 702.67 @ 0.997
No on Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 702.675 @ 0.998
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 737.74 @ 0.994
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 737.7486 @ 0.995
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 478.5 @ 0.998
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 478.508 @ 0.999
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 805.33 @ 0.994
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 805.3366 @ 0.995
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 536.17 @ 0.994
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
— 536.1708 @ 0.995
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 654.63 @ 0.998
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 654.634 @ 0.999
No on Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 578.13 @ 0.954
No on Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 578.136111 @ 0.955
No on Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
— 417.99 @ 0.998
No on Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
— 417.997 @ 0.999
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 417.99 @ 0.998
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 417.997 @ 0.999
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
— 418.83 @ 0.996
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
— 418.836333 @ 0.997
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 511.25 @ 0.996
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 511.253666 @ 0.997
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 610.54 @ 0.998
No on Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
— 610.54 @ 0.999
No on Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 520.82 @ 0.997
No on Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 520.8215 @ 0.998
No on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
— 472.69 @ 0.960
No on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
— 472.692308 @ 0.962
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
— 881.01 @ 0.998
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
— 881.011012 @ 0.999
No on Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
— 232.63 @ 0.996
No on Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
— 232.637914 @ 0.997
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
— 232.17 @ 0.998
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
— 232.172173 @ 0.999
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 738.17 @ 0.996
No on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
— 738.174333 @ 0.997
No on Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 618.33 @ 0.954
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.