⌘K
← leaderboard
LU

lu2000

0x503a…860apolymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
-$803.30
Win rate
45.8%
46 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$12.21
30d PnL
-$586.21
30d trades
100
30d wins
22
22.0%
30d volume
$46.9k
Category edge
Sports
40.5%
-7.3pp
n=84

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
39.8% (35 wins / 53 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 26 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 13-day series
$1.92k
-$3.02k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 90%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 90% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.34 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $337Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.04 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $336.77 · p90 $983.15
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 15:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·20m ago·0x503a…860awhy? →
Under on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 8.5
334.3 @ 0.999
SELL·28m ago·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
-$0.45 · 447.36 @ 0.999
BUY·34m ago·0x503a…860awhy? →
Under on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 8.5
334.302326 @ 0.688
BUY·1h ago·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20?
238.095239 @ 0.210
BUY·1h ago·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
+$277.37 · 447.368422 @ 0.380
SELL·22h agoageing·0x503a…860awhy? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
-$160.00 · 250 @ 0.360
BUY·23h agoageing·0x503a…860awhy? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
+$80.00 · 250 @ 0.680
SELL·23h agoageing·0x503a…860awhy? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
-$0.48 · 476.81 @ 0.999
BUY·23h agoageing·0x503a…860awhy? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
+$78.57 · 178.571429 @ 0.560
BUY·23h agoageing·0x503a…860awhy? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
+$128.25 · 298.245613 @ 0.570
SELL·23h agoageing·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$0.53 · 534.88 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$304.88 · 534.883721 @ 0.430
SELL·1d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Vitality on Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
-$0.41 · 414.63 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Vitality on Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
+$244.63 · 414.634147 @ 0.410
SELL·2d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Lions on Spread: Bills (-13.5)
-$0.89 · 888.88 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Lions on Lions vs. Bills
-$50.00 · 454.545455 @ 0.110
SELL·2d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Lions on Spread: Bills (-20.5)
-$668.35 · 3182.6 @ 0.790
BUY·2d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Lions on Spread: Bills (-20.5)
+$1.74k · 3182.608696 @ 0.453
BUY·2d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Lions on Spread: Bills (-13.5)
+$488.89 · 888.888889 @ 0.450
BUY·2d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
-$120.00 · 315.789474 @ 0.380
BUY·2d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
-$90.00 · 225.125 @ 0.400
SELL·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
-$0.38 · 377.77 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
+$207.78 · 377.777778 @ 0.450
SELL·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$4.17 · 416.66 @ 0.990
BUY·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
+$216.67 · 416.666667 @ 0.480
BUY·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
644.818013 @ 0.155
BUY·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Lions on Lions vs. Bills
-$140.00 · 424.242425 @ 0.330
BUY·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
-$40.00 · 500 @ 0.080
BUY·3d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Under on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5
+$187.50 · 937.5 @ 0.800
BUY·4d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
-$50.00 · 137.351352 @ 0.364
BUY·4d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
-$220.00 · 451.460589 @ 0.487
SELL·4d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
-$10.50 · 1049.69 @ 0.990
BUY·4d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
+$449.69 · 1049.692414 @ 0.572
BUY·4d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
-$370.00 · 617.696159 @ 0.599
BUY·4d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Under on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
-$270.00 · 369.863014 @ 0.730
SELL·5d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Broncos on Broncos vs. Chiefs
+$245.74 · 744.68 @ 0.330
BUY·5d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Broncos on Broncos vs. Chiefs
-$350.00 · 744.680852 @ 0.470
SELL·5d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?
-$0.00 · 0.33 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Under on Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5
-$190.00 · 358.490567 @ 0.530
SELL·5d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?
-$1.67 · 833 @ 0.998
BUY·6d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?
+$483.33 · 833.333334 @ 0.420
BUY·6d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$877.94 · 2115.521368 @ 0.585
SELL·6d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$1.26k · 1540.82 @ 0.820
BUY·7d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
-$878.27 · 1540.824562 @ 0.570
BUY·7d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Under on Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5
-$796.98 · 971.926827 @ 0.820
SELL·7d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
-$562.24 · 1369.58 @ 0.589
BUY·7d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$574.27 · 1369.586918 @ 0.581
BUY·7d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
+$467.24 · 806.822803 @ 0.421
SELL·7d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
+$360.74 · 1960.02 @ 0.184
BUY·7d agostale·0x503a…860awhy? →
Yes on Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?
-$58.97 · 453.615385 @ 0.130
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.