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TR

TrueVineyard

0x5019…371bpolymarket ↗last active 27m ago
All-time PnL
-$435.31
Win rate
90.9%
91 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$39.57
30d PnL
-$435.31
30d trades
100
30d wins
10
10.0%
30d volume
$6.95k
Category edge
Crypto
90.0%
+32.4pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
90.0% (90 wins / 10 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.96Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $70Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.01 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 96¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $69.58 · p90 $70.29
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·27m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.79 · 72 @ 0.969
BUY·27m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.12 · 72 @ 0.960
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.71 · 73 @ 0.955
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$68.62 · 73 @ 0.940
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.30 · 70 @ 0.990
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.30 · 70 @ 0.990
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$70.29 · 71 @ 0.990
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.58 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.58 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·28m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$69.84 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·37m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$0.70 · 70 @ 0.990
BUY·37m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$0.71 · 71 @ 0.990
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$1.44 · 72 @ 0.980
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·38m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·42m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$0.70 · 70 @ 0.990
BUY·42m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$0.70 · 70 @ 0.990
BUY·42m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$1.44 · 72 @ 0.980
BUY·42m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·42m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·43m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·43m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·43m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·43m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$4.70 · 75 @ 0.937
BUY·43m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$4.70 · 75 @ 0.937
BUY·57m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$1.55 · 72 @ 0.978
BUY·57m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$1.42 · 71 @ 0.980
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$2.51 · 72 @ 0.965
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$2.88 · 72 @ 0.960
BUY·58m ago·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$2.88 · 72 @ 0.960
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$11.40 · 76 @ 0.850
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$10.64 · 76 @ 0.860
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$6.31 · 76 @ 0.917
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$5.32 · 76 @ 0.930
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$6.08 · 76 @ 0.920
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$7.60 · 76 @ 0.900
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$6.84 · 76 @ 0.910
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$11.34 · 81 @ 0.860
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$12.81 · 84 @ 0.848
BUY·5h agoageing·0x5019…371bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$14.28 · 84 @ 0.830
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.