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GR

gransaaa

0x4d30…a42dpolymarket ↗last active 37m ago
All-time PnL
$91.9k
Win rate
46.2%
46 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$7.07k
30d PnL
$91.9k
30d trades
100
30d wins
6
6.0%
30d volume
$617.4k
Category edge
Sports
33.3%
-15.1pp
n=87

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
33.3% (29 wins / 58 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$93.7k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.48Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $3,413Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.57 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 48¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $3.41k · p90 $13.3k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 06:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·37m ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
4000 @ 0.500
BUY·38m ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
15000 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
2000 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
7000 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
3000 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
26000 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
2000 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
4000 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
2994.93 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
22849.6 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
66464.05 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
39605.19 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
13000 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FC Bayern München on Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)
+$13.5k · 27000 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FC Bayern München on Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)
+$2.01k · 3936.76 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FC Bayern München on Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)
+$5.45k · 10663.44 @ 0.489
BUY·1d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FC Bayern München on Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)
+$2.54k · 4878.51 @ 0.480
BUY·4d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
-$2.16k · 3999.99 @ 0.540
BUY·4d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
-$4.32k · 7999.99 @ 0.540
BUY·4d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
-$4.32k · 7999.99 @ 0.540
BUY·4d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
-$1.62k · 3000 @ 0.540
BUY·4d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
-$4.32k · 7999.99 @ 0.540
BUY·4d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
-$8.53k · 16103.28 @ 0.530
BUY·4d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
-$78.00 · 150 @ 0.520
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13?
-$2.28 · 5.3 @ 0.430
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13?
-$430.00 · 1000 @ 0.430
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.29k · 3000 @ 0.430
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.72k · 4000 @ 0.430
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13?
-$2.15k · 5000 @ 0.430
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13?
-$3.44k · 8000 @ 0.430
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
No on Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13?
-$422.52 · 1005.99 @ 0.420
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will SK Brann win on 2026-09-13?
-$13.0k · 25000 @ 0.520
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will SK Brann win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.09k · 2141.34 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will SK Brann win on 2026-09-13?
-$25.6k · 50808.1 @ 0.503
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Over on FC Zurich vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5
-$9.61k · 18949.42 @ 0.507
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$6.59k · 12212.42 @ 0.540
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$2.12k · 4000 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.06k · 2000 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$2.12k · 4000 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$13.3k · 25000 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$228.80 · 440 @ 0.520
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$8.32k · 16000 @ 0.520
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$612.64 · 1200 @ 0.511
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.56k · 3000 @ 0.520
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$150.36 · 294.83 @ 0.510
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$3.57k · 7000 @ 0.510
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$2.12k · 4000 @ 0.530
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$4.24k · 8000 @ 0.530
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$7.80k · 15000 @ 0.520
BUY·6d agostale·0x4d30…a42dwhy? →
Yes on Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13?
-$2.15k · 4225.44 @ 0.510
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.