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ChanceFavoursThePreparedMind

0x4cb3…232fpolymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
$110.70
Win rate
96.9%
97 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.13
30d PnL
$110.70
30d trades
100
30d wins
95
95.0%
30d volume
$6.83k
Category edge
Crypto
97.0%
+31.2pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
97.0% (96 wins / 3 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$110.70
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.96Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $80Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.36 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 96¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $79.99 · p90 $80.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·25m ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·31m ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
+$0.03 · 20.25 @ 0.999
BUY·1h ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
+$2.96 · 76.51 @ 0.961
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
+$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
+$0.74 · 49.1459 @ 0.985
BUY·3h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
+$3.18 · 63.68 @ 0.950
BUY·3h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
+$0.37 · 36.1218 @ 0.990
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$1.69 · 81.69385 @ 0.979
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
+$2.31 · 82.3061 @ 0.972
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$1.61 · 81.6087 @ 0.980
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$0.08 · 80.08 @ 0.999
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$2.04 · 59.08 @ 0.965
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
+$0.08 · 80.08 @ 0.999
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$2.29 · 82.2867 @ 0.972
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
+$0.25 · 5 @ 0.950
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
+$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
BUY·6h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
+$2.89 · 64.333325 @ 0.955
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.632654 @ 0.980
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
+$1.77 · 81.77335 @ 0.978
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$0.95 · 80.9546 @ 0.988
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
+$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
BUY·8h agoageing·0x4cb3…232fwhy? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
+$1.34 · 81.3432 @ 0.983
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.