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ME

MechaEdge

0x4c95…66b4polymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
-$609.79
Win rate
18.8%
13 of 68
Total trades
68
Avg PnL / trade
-$38.11
30d PnL
-$609.79
30d trades
68
30d wins
3
4.4%
30d volume
$5.59k
Category edge
Sports
44.8%
-5.4pp
n=67

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
44.8% (30 wins / 37 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$0.00
-$547.11
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 68 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.15 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.16Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $49Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.00 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 16¢ · 68 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $48.66 · p90 $212.99
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 02:00 · 68 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·22m ago·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Chicago Cubs on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
361 @ 0.590
BUY·19h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$20.88 · 261 @ 0.080
SELL·19h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$19.60 · 280 @ 0.070
BUY·19h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$42.00 · 280 @ 0.150
BUY·20h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Texas Rangers on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$42.41 · 248 @ 0.171
SELL·20h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$451.09 · 696.12 @ 0.352
SELL·20h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$116.46 · 180 @ 0.353
BUY·20h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$54.18 · 64.12 @ 0.155
BUY·20h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$687.87 · 812 @ 0.153
SELL·20h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
+$25.65 · 513 @ 0.050
BUY·20h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
-$41.04 · 513 @ 0.080
SELL·21h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
+$62.64 · 1044 @ 0.060
BUY·21h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
-$125.28 · 1044 @ 0.120
SELL·21h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
+$87.75 · 975 @ 0.090
BUY·21h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
-$126.75 · 975 @ 0.130
SELL·21h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
+$171.20 · 1070 @ 0.160
BUY·22h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
-$214.00 · 1070 @ 0.200
SELL·22h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
+$156.06 · 867 @ 0.180
SELL·22h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
+$0.90 · 5 @ 0.180
BUY·22h agoageing·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
-$218.00 · 872 @ 0.250
BUY·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Colorado Rockies on San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
-$21.91 · 626 @ 0.035
SELL·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$247.10 · 1778 @ 0.139
BUY·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$218.69 · 1778 @ 0.123
SELL·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$161.14 · 1589.96 @ 0.101
BUY·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$147.42 · 1051.4 @ 0.140
SELL·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$115.75 · 248.39 @ 0.466
SELL·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$182.30 · 352.61 @ 0.517
SELL·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$106.60 · 205 @ 0.520
BUY·1d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$451.36 · 806 @ 0.560
SELL·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$70.74 · 131 @ 0.540
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$79.08 · 116 @ 0.682
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$4.50 · 90 @ 0.050
SELL·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$2.80 · 280 @ 0.010
SELL·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$0.10 · 5 @ 0.020
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$22.80 · 285 @ 0.080
SELL·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$18.90 · 270 @ 0.070
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$45.90 · 270 @ 0.170
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Chicago Cubs on Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
-$4.56 · 117 @ 0.039
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$4.60 · 118 @ 0.039
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$23.15 · 625 @ 0.037
SELL·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$37.92 · 758.4 @ 0.050
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$142.20 · 1580 @ 0.090
SELL·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$76.24 · 953 @ 0.080
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$95.30 · 953 @ 0.100
SELL·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Chicago White Sox on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$105.93 · 963 @ 0.110
BUY·2d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Chicago White Sox on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$144.45 · 963 @ 0.150
BUY·3d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$24.22 · 346 @ 0.070
SELL·3d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$17.40 · 348 @ 0.050
BUY·3d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$48.72 · 348 @ 0.140
BUY·3d agostale·0x4c95…66b4why? →
Colorado Rockies on San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
-$24.48 · 144 @ 0.170
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.