No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
— 705 @ 0.976
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JI
Jin-2026
All-time PnL
$1.29k
Win rate
61.9%
62 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$60.51
30d PnL
$807.32
30d trades
64
30d wins
10
15.6%
30d volume
$32.5k
Category edge
World
61.5%
+1.1pp
n=39
Sports
54.5%
-0.4pp
n=11
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
58.5% (31 wins / 22 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 16 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 15-day series
$1.43k
-$12.00
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 74%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 74% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.28 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.86 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $485 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.87 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 86¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $485.49 · p90 $1.21k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 23:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
— 25 @ 0.974
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
— 2050 @ 0.994
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 590 @ 0.910
No on Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
— 526.21 @ 0.943
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
— 136.04 @ 0.940
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
— 84 @ 0.970
No on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1800 @ 0.999
G2 Ares on Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
— -$57.80 · 186.59 @ 0.690
G2 Ares on Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
— +$6.84 · 155.88 @ 0.956
Honvéd on Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
— +$2.64 · 32.99 @ 0.080
Honvéd on Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
— -$3.96 · 32.99 @ 0.120
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
— 463.67 @ 0.973
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
— 48.3 @ 0.971
No on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1300 @ 0.987
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1517.02 @ 0.800
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
— 900 @ 0.998
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 400 @ 0.810
No on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 500 @ 0.987
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 64.57 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 252.45 @ 0.810
No on Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1000 @ 0.998
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 600 @ 0.820
Phantom Academy on Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
— +$3.59 · 44.88 @ 0.080
Phantom Academy on Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
— -$6.38 · 44.88 @ 0.142
No on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 185.53 @ 0.770
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
— +$8.46 · 18 @ 0.470
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
— +$107.60 · 200 @ 0.538
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
— -$12.24 · 18 @ 0.680
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
— -$76.42 · 100 @ 0.764
No on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 700 @ 0.800
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
— +$12.22 · 134 @ 0.909
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 500 @ 0.974
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
— 300 @ 0.987
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
— 600 @ 0.988
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
— 1200 @ 0.950
No on Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1000 @ 0.978
Yes on Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
— +$9.79 · 89 @ 0.890
No on Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
— -$48.10 · 662.45 @ 0.927
No on Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
— -$31.67 · 566.64 @ 0.944
No on Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
— -$32.91 · 662.57 @ 0.950
No on Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
— -$0.53 · 11.14 @ 0.952
No on Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
— -$0.26 · 5.57 @ 0.953
No on Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
— 740.74 @ 0.910
No on Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
— +$6.03 · 490 @ 0.988
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
— +$13.51 · 1227.76 @ 0.989
No on Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
— +$42.65 · 1409.71 @ 0.970
No on Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
— 700.74 @ 0.930
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.950
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
— -$77.85 · 1298.28 @ 0.940
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.