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ET

ethyydsz

0x49f2…b3c3polymarket ↗last active 19m ago
All-time PnL
$1.23k
Win rate
56.1%
56 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$18.69
30d PnL
$1.23k
30d trades
100
30d wins
37
37.0%
30d volume
$34.9k
Category edge
Crypto
40.4%
-15.0pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
40.4% (40 wins / 59 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 22 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$1.23k
-$152.58
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.66Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $194Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.11 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 66¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $194.00 · p90 $740.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 08:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·19m ago·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
65.55555 @ 0.900
SELL·20m ago·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
-$0.61 · 60.53 @ 0.990
BUY·25m ago·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
+$17.76 · 60.536479 @ 0.707
SELL·25m ago·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
-$0.44 · 44.16 @ 0.990
BUY·28m ago·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
+$15.46 · 44.169231 @ 0.650
BUY·11h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
-$51.31 · 71.263889 @ 0.720
BUY·11h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
-$650.00 · 1102.047 @ 0.590
SELL·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
-$102.06 · 2269.73 @ 0.955
BUY·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
+$474.93 · 974.934529 @ 0.513
BUY·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
+$614.80 · 1294.796414 @ 0.525
SELL·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$12.75 · 1274.5 @ 0.990
BUY·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
+$624.51 · 1274.509804 @ 0.510
SELL·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
-$27.79 · 693.9 @ 0.960
BUY·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$194.44 · 694.444442 @ 0.720
BUY·13h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
-$98.00 · 128.947366 @ 0.760
BUY·14h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
-$98.00 · 188.461539 @ 0.520
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
+$225.82 · 605.817459 @ 0.627
SELL·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
-$7.28 · 727.97 @ 0.990
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
+$348.27 · 727.97 @ 0.522
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
-$380.00 · 684.553572 @ 0.555
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$561.56 · 1210.3 @ 0.464
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$1.10k · 2266.58 @ 0.484
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$142.02 · 284.0382 @ 0.500
SELL·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
-$20.06 · 2005.92 @ 0.990
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$691.92 · 1673.41 @ 0.587
BUY·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$114.00 · 332.510596 @ 0.657
SELL·19h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$12.65 · 1264.85 @ 0.990
BUY·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
+$664.86 · 1264.855103 @ 0.474
SELL·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
-$13.45 · 1344.81 @ 0.990
BUY·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$664.82 · 1344.819246 @ 0.506
BUY·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
-$770.81 · 1384.07 @ 0.557
BUY·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
-$179.19 · 299.652951 @ 0.598
SELL·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
-$10.22 · 1022.33 @ 0.990
BUY·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
+$282.34 · 1022.336985 @ 0.724
SELL·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
-$7.60 · 760.32 @ 0.990
BUY·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
+$380.32 · 760.320785 @ 0.500
BUY·20h agoageing·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
+$370.70 · 750.701961 @ 0.506
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
-$113.37 · 213.755926 @ 0.530
SELL·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
-$1.19 · 118.5 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
+$58.07 · 118.509804 @ 0.510
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
-$44.09 · 78.732143 @ 0.560
SELL·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
-$2.92 · 48.64 @ 0.940
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
+$11.67 · 48.644737 @ 0.760
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
-$60.00 · 126.979167 @ 0.473
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
-$36.00 · 60 @ 0.600
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
-$43.74 · 109.35 @ 0.400
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$19.89 · 82.894737 @ 0.760
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
-$60.00 · 139.534884 @ 0.430
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
-$98.00 · 214.130435 @ 0.458
BUY·1d agostale·0x49f2…b3c3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
+$45.60 · 143.5971 @ 0.682
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.