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D1

D1frag

0x4677…2de8polymarket ↗last active 1h ago
All-time PnL
-$1.65k
Win rate
48.0%
48 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$32.90
30d PnL
-$1.65k
30d trades
100
30d wins
24
24.0%
30d volume
$13.1k
Category edge
Sports
26.3%
-24.8pp
n=19
Crypto
57.1%
+4.6pp
n=77

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
51.0% (49 wins / 47 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$22.78
-$2.24k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 80%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 80% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.90 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.53Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.51 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 53¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $403.17
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 13:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
+$14.94 · 114.942523 @ 0.870
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
+$3.41 · 28.409091 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
+$14.94 · 114.942523 @ 0.870
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$1.00 · 4 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$1.00 · 4 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$1.00 · 4 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$1.00 · 4 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$1.00 · 4 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
-$25.00 · 96.153847 @ 0.260
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$0.18 · 1.176466 @ 0.850
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$0.18 · 1.176466 @ 0.850
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
+$4.76 · 29.7619 @ 0.840
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$0.09 · 1.08695 @ 0.920
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$0.09 · 1.08695 @ 0.920
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$0.08 · 1.075269 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$0.08 · 1.075257 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$0.08 · 1.075269 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$0.08 · 1.075269 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$0.08 · 1.075257 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$1.15 · 19.148933 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$8.31 · 25.970587 @ 0.680
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$25.00 · 35.714286 @ 0.700
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$100.00 · 150.089551 @ 0.666
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$25.00 · 37.313433 @ 0.670
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$100.00 · 151.515152 @ 0.660
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$30.56 · 55.555556 @ 0.450
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$18.10 · 43.103447 @ 0.580
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$75.44 · 175.438597 @ 0.570
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$0.80 · 20 @ 0.960
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
-$100.00 · 243.90244 @ 0.410
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
-$100.00 · 243.90244 @ 0.410
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
-$100.00 · 249.806586 @ 0.400
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
+$61.87 · 161.870968 @ 0.618
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
+$53.85 · 153.846154 @ 0.650
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
+$8.85 · 33.85135 @ 0.739
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
+$36.99 · 136.9863 @ 0.730
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
+$9.25 · 34.246574 @ 0.730
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
-$25.00 · 227.272728 @ 0.110
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
-$25.00 · 227.272728 @ 0.110
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
+$31.82 · 56.818182 @ 0.440
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
+$26.02 · 51.020409 @ 0.490
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
+$63.93 · 163.934425 @ 0.610
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
+$56.25 · 156.25 @ 0.640
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
+$21.30 · 46.296297 @ 0.540
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4677…2de8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
+$20.45 · 45.454546 @ 0.550
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.