No on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 1235.61 @ 0.099
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SO
SomeoneIn2077
All-time PnL
-$3.28k
Win rate
62.9%
63 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$93.63
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
2
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$480.66
Category edge
Economy
100.0%
+6.7pp
n=12
World
58.8%
-1.6pp
n=51
Science & Tech
75.0%
avg
n=32
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
68.4% (67 wins / 31 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 13 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 19-day series
$1.24k
-$3.92k
Trading pattern
World-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · World 53%
Why World-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 53% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.75 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $199 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.12 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 75¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $199.40 · p90 $1.47k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 12:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
— 383.27 @ 0.935
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
— -$10.00 · 2000 @ 0.995
No on Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
— -$940.00 · 1000 @ 0.940
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
— -$5.00 · 1000 @ 0.995
No on Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
— -$491.00 · 500 @ 0.982
Yes on Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
— -$152.58 · 231.18 @ 0.340
No on Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
— -$230.69 · 235.4 @ 0.980
Yes on Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
— -$1.02k · 1570.35 @ 0.350
No on Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
— -$8.63 · 8.96 @ 0.963
Yes on Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
— +$10.18 · 60 @ 0.170
Yes on Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
— -$3.60 · 20 @ 0.180
Yes on Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
— -$3.60 · 20 @ 0.180
Yes on Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
— -$3.60 · 20 @ 0.180
Yes on Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
— -$3.43 · 375.34 @ 0.009
No on Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
— -$435.15 · 450 @ 0.967
Yes on Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
— +$20.77 · 67 @ 0.690
Yes on Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
— +$65.50 · 654.98 @ 0.900
Yes on Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
— +$161.41 · 479 @ 0.663
Yes on Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
— +$130.50 · 393 @ 0.668
Yes on Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
— +$34.14 · 72.37 @ 0.528
Yes on Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
— +$8.58 · 22 @ 0.610
No on Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
— +$17.40 · 870 @ 0.980
Yes on Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
— +$6.57 · 316.88 @ 0.021
Yes on Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
— +$18.32 · 832.77 @ 0.022
Thunder on Spurs vs. Thunder
— -$52.20 · 90 @ 0.580
Yes on Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
— +$199.86 · 832.73 @ 0.760
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
— +$260.00 · 1000 @ 0.740
No on Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
— +$17.87 · 869.21 @ 0.979
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
— -$10.19 · 10188.93 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
— -$3.00 · 1500 @ 0.998
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
— +$330.00 · 2200 @ 0.850
Yes on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
— +$913.54 · 2402.31 @ 0.380
Yes on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
— +$1.07k · 2734.44 @ 0.392
Yes on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
— -$157.23 · 165.68 @ 0.949
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
— -$80.00 · 500 @ 0.840
Yes on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
— +$33.00 · 1500 @ 0.978
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
— +$339.21 · 1027.91 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
— -$587.85 · 869.67 @ 0.676
Yes on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
— -$4.59k · 9449 @ 0.485
Yes on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
— -$20.88 · 6958.93 @ 0.997
Yes on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
— +$630.00 · 9000 @ 0.930
No on Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
— -$14.53 · 859.79 @ 0.983
Yes on Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
— -$237.34 · 238.12 @ 0.003
Yes on Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
— +$8.85 · 278.21 @ 0.032
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
— +$28.00 · 1400 @ 0.980
No on Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
— +$19.95 · 1303.19 @ 0.985
No on Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
— +$3.49 · 174.29 @ 0.980
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
— +$79.64 · 4184.05 @ 0.981
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
— +$8.02 · 320.67 @ 0.975
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.