Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 9261.49 @ 0.107
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0X
0x433fE589BE9B3dF74C902caC9683103724B4ADD6-1757753313067
All-time PnL
$811.04
Win rate
90.0%
27 of 30
Total trades
30
Avg PnL / trade
$135.83
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
3
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$3.53k
Category edge
World
39.1%
-10.9pp
n=23
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
44.4% (12 wins / 15 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 10-day series
$1.36k
-$963.15
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 87%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 30 trades
Category focus: World 87% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.27 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.40 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.35 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 40¢ · 30 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $1.54k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 14:00 · 30 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 7644.43 @ 0.130
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 7644.439522 @ 0.202
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
— +$2.32k · 2901.19 @ 0.800
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
— -$1.67k · 2901.192067 @ 0.577
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
— +$1.67k · 3348.74 @ 0.500
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
— -$1.39k · 3348.741394 @ 0.416
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
— +$781.35 · 10846.23 @ 0.072
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
— +$457.32 · 2184.08 @ 0.209
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
— +$65.59 · 152.18 @ 0.431
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
— +$52.11 · 168.16 @ 0.310
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
— +$21.82 · 60.6 @ 0.360
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
— +$14.99 · 33.55 @ 0.447
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
— -$491.55 · 9735.120195 @ 0.050
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
— -$245.56 · 1637.066665 @ 0.150
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
— -$24.60 · 84.827585 @ 0.290
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
— -$100.00 · 1111.11111 @ 0.090
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
— -$100.00 · 429.375 @ 0.233
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
— -$39.66 · 100.77411 @ 0.394
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
— -$20.00 · 33.557044 @ 0.596
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
— -$20.00 · 60.606059 @ 0.330
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
— -$20.00 · 117.647057 @ 0.170
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
— -$20.00 · 51.41388 @ 0.389
No on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
— -$20.00 · 83.333332 @ 0.240
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
— -$1.69 · 141.17 @ 0.988
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
— +$117.18 · 141.176469 @ 0.170
Yes on Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
— -$77.31 · 480.21 @ 0.839
Yes on Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
— +$91.27 · 480.218628 @ 0.810
Yes on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
— +$8.70 · 108.69565 @ 0.920
Yes on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
— +$0.09 · 1.08695 @ 0.920
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.