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PE

penguinx

0x433f…a0dcpolymarket ↗last active 12m ago
All-time PnL
$6.48k
Win rate
52.0%
52 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$259.10
30d PnL
$6.48k
30d trades
100
30d wins
13
13.0%
30d volume
$17.7k
Category edge
Crypto
43.9%
-22.7pp
n=98

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
43.9% (43 wins / 55 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$6.74k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.34Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $69Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.96 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 34¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $68.63 · p90 $362.47
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 06:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·12m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
135 @ 0.130
BUY·15m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1747.24 @ 0.178
BUY·23m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
-$75.96 · 176.66 @ 0.430
BUY·24m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
-$55.14 · 114.88 @ 0.480
SELL·30m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
-$280.67 · 905.39 @ 0.690
BUY·30m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
+$13.75 · 23.31 @ 0.410
BUY·30m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
+$511.68 · 876.01 @ 0.416
BUY·38m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$11.20 · 160 @ 0.070
BUY·38m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$18.35 · 254.27 @ 0.072
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$15.95 · 204.99 @ 0.078
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$19.25 · 175 @ 0.110
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$9.50 · 95 @ 0.100
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$30.06 · 167 @ 0.180
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$13.92 · 87.02 @ 0.160
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$14.84 · 64.54 @ 0.230
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$24.20 · 105.22 @ 0.230
BUY·39m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$49.67 · 235.5 @ 0.211
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$67.61 · 281.69 @ 0.240
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$17.52 · 73 @ 0.240
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$74.68 · 316 @ 0.236
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$88.77 · 355.07 @ 0.250
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$45.00 · 180.01 @ 0.250
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$41.75 · 167 @ 0.250
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$12.60 · 60 @ 0.210
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$11.20 · 40 @ 0.280
BUY·41m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$14.85 · 55 @ 0.270
BUY·42m ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
-$198.45 · 567 @ 0.350
SELL·1h ago·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
+$174.23 · 370.7 @ 0.470
BUY·2h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
-$0.30 · 30 @ 0.010
BUY·4h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$79.21 · 611.8 @ 0.871
SELL·4h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
-$137.88 · 186.32 @ 0.260
BUY·4h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$135.56 · 163.33 @ 0.170
BUY·4h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
+$637.00 · 910 @ 0.300
BUY·4h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
+$247.14 · 463 @ 0.466
BUY·5h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
-$38.78 · 193.92 @ 0.200
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
-$16.31 · 116.53 @ 0.140
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
-$20.30 · 145 @ 0.140
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
-$117.66 · 514.67 @ 0.229
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
-$333.55 · 953 @ 0.350
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
-$53.38 · 157 @ 0.340
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
-$187.14 · 603.68 @ 0.310
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$882.02 · 948.41 @ 0.070
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$201.48 · 239.14 @ 0.157
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$755.27 · 938.91 @ 0.196
BUY·6h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$81.84 · 120.36 @ 0.320
BUY·7h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
-$200.21 · 800.82 @ 0.250
BUY·7h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
+$264.62 · 395.4 @ 0.331
SELL·7h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
-$114.30 · 204.11 @ 0.440
BUY·7h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
+$134.45 · 204.11 @ 0.341
BUY·8h agoageing·0x433f…a0dcwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
-$2.99 · 13 @ 0.230
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.