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Villads42

0x4209…a8f7polymarket ↗last active 30m ago
All-time PnL
$80.55
Win rate
99.0%
99 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.81
30d PnL
$80.55
30d trades
100
30d wins
99
99.0%
30d volume
$44.0k
Category edge
Crypto
99.0%
+26.0pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
99.0% (99 wins / 1 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$167.23
-$84.92
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.99Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $430Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.29 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 99¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $429.66 · p90 $620.24
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 16:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·30m ago·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
+$3.59 · 318.68 @ 0.989
BUY·49m ago·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$8.11 · 448 @ 0.982
BUY·1h ago·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$0.87 · 86.53 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
+$0.74 · 73.6 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
+$4.47 · 447 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
+$4.46 · 446 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
+$4.26 · 323 @ 0.987
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$6.66 · 666 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
+$6.65 · 665 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
+$4.43 · 443 @ 0.990
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
+$2.26 · 225.58 @ 0.990
BUY·5h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
+$4.40 · 440 @ 0.990
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$4.39 · 439 @ 0.990
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
+$4.38 · 438 @ 0.990
BUY·7h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$19.78 · 436 @ 0.955
BUY·8h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$4.36 · 436 @ 0.990
BUY·8h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$4.35 · 435 @ 0.990
BUY·8h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
+$11.36 · 434 @ 0.974
BUY·14h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
+$4.32 · 432 @ 0.990
BUY·14h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$4.32 · 432 @ 0.990
BUY·14h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
+$4.31 · 431 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
+$2.06 · 206.08 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
+$4.30 · 430 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
+$4.30 · 430 @ 0.990
BUY·16h agoageing·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
+$4.29 · 429 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
+$0.36 · 36.44 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
+$4.25 · 425 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
+$4.24 · 424 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
+$4.24 · 424 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$4.29 · 424 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
+$12.25 · 422 @ 0.971
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$4.22 · 422 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$4.21 · 421 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$5.88 · 418 @ 0.986
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
+$17.86 · 416 @ 0.957
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
+$3.62 · 361.95 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
+$7.22 · 622 @ 0.988
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
+$6.21 · 621 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
+$4.13 · 413 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
+$4.13 · 413 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
+$4.11 · 411 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
+$4.11 · 411 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
+$6.15 · 615 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
+$6.14 · 614 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
+$6.13 · 613 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
+$4.07 · 407 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
-$437.47 · 451 @ 0.970
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
+$4.51 · 451 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
+$4.50 · 450 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x4209…a8f7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
+$4.50 · 450 @ 0.990
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.