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hongxi

0x41a8…3d3dpolymarket ↗last active 15m ago
All-time PnL
$348.83
Win rate
51.1%
51 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$3.96
30d PnL
$348.83
30d trades
100
30d wins
45
45.0%
30d volume
$3.30k
Category edge
Crypto
50.5%
-5.9pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
50.5% (50 wins / 49 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$371.24
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $20Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.40 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $20.00 · p90 $60.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 09:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·15m ago·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
259.615383 @ 0.520
BUY·19m ago·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
-$50.00 · 92.160726 @ 0.543
BUY·24m ago·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
-$20.00 · 37.735848 @ 0.530
BUY·1h ago·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
+$117.59 · 252.59111 @ 0.534
BUY·1h ago·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
-$50.00 · 90.909088 @ 0.550
BUY·1h ago·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
-$20.00 · 35.087718 @ 0.570
BUY·16h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$36.82 · 81.81818 @ 0.550
BUY·16h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
-$15.00 · 30 @ 0.500
BUY·16h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
-$5.00 · 9.80392 @ 0.510
BUY·17h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
+$4.80 · 9.80392 @ 0.510
BUY·17h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
+$5.00 · 10 @ 0.500
BUY·17h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
+$4.80 · 9.80392 @ 0.510
BUY·19h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
+$17.04 · 37.037036 @ 0.540
BUY·21h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
+$13.33 · 33.333332 @ 0.600
BUY·22h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
+$46.15 · 96.153845 @ 0.520
BUY·22h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
-$60.00 · 117.647057 @ 0.510
BUY·22h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
-$25.00 · 58.090908 @ 0.430
BUY·22h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
-$10.00 · 20.408162 @ 0.490
BUY·23h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
-$25.00 · 48.076922 @ 0.520
BUY·23h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
-$10.00 · 19.607842 @ 0.510
BUY·23h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
+$54.89 · 114.893206 @ 0.522
BUY·23h agoageing·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
-$25.00 · 48.076922 @ 0.520
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
-$10.00 · 18.867923 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
+$37.04 · 78.814527 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
+$230.66 · 488.89 @ 0.528
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
-$135.00 · 263.469806 @ 0.512
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
-$60.00 · 117.51096 @ 0.511
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
-$25.00 · 50 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
-$10.00 · 28.571427 @ 0.350
SELL·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
+$5.40 · 20 @ 0.270
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
-$10.00 · 20 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
+$226.39 · 526.393506 @ 0.570
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
-$135.00 · 241.071427 @ 0.560
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
-$60.00 · 109.090908 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
-$25.00 · 47.363206 @ 0.528
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
-$10.00 · 19.607842 @ 0.510
SELL·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
+$10.19 · 19.23 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
-$10.00 · 19.230768 @ 0.520
SELL·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$25.91 · 45.45 @ 0.570
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
-$25.00 · 45.454544 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
+$9.23 · 19.230768 @ 0.520
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
-$10.00 · 18.181817 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
+$22.17 · 47.16981 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
-$10.00 · 17.543858 @ 0.570
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$25.65 · 50.6514 @ 0.494
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
-$10.00 · 22.524443 @ 0.444
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$24.02 · 49.019606 @ 0.510
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
-$10.00 · 19.607842 @ 0.510
BUY·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
-$10.00 · 18.867923 @ 0.530
SELL·1d agostale·0x41a8…3d3dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$4.60 · 20 @ 0.230
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.