Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1442.378044 @ 0.820
← leaderboard
40
0x403f…b886
All-time PnL
-$2.98k
Win rate
36.0%
36 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$110.00
30d PnL
-$2.75k
30d trades
100
30d wins
9
9.0%
30d volume
$51.2k
Category edge
Crypto
40.5%
-31.0pp
n=42
Other
40.0%
avg
n=5
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
41.2% (21 wins / 30 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 11-day series
$0.00
-$2.75k
Trading pattern
Crypto-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Crypto 50%
Why Crypto-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 50% of categorized trades — a lean toward Crypto without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.63 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $315 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.98 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 63¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $314.87 · p90 $1.18k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 04:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1442.378044 @ 0.820
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1442.378044 @ 0.820
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1442.378044 @ 0.820
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1442.378044 @ 0.820
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1449.05 @ 0.816
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765433 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1459.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 379.915658 @ 0.830
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 377.278925 @ 0.833
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 381.480482 @ 0.826
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 384.439022 @ 0.820
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 383.987805 @ 0.820
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 383.987805 @ 0.820
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1315.918919 @ 0.740
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 64 @ 0.730
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 133.342466 @ 0.730
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 13.328768 @ 0.730
Yes on Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?
— 147.777778 @ 0.045
Yes on AI bubble burst in 2026?
— 64.386713 @ 0.145
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 108.26 @ 0.890
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 108.26666 @ 0.900
Yes on Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 8?
— -$30.54 · 803.684211 @ 0.038
Yes on S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 8?
— -$0.64 · 5.81 @ 0.890
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 8?
— -$0.41 · 6 @ 0.931
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?
— -$0.36 · 6.07 @ 0.940
Yes on Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
— 5.19 @ 0.920
Yes on Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
— 5.191483 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10?
— +$5.19 · 24.7 @ 0.210
Yes on Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?
— -$1.05 · 5.83 @ 0.820
Yes on Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?
— +$0.99 · 5.831326 @ 0.830
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10?
— -$4.20 · 24.705883 @ 0.170
Yes on Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on September 8?
— +$0.29 · 4.882966 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 8?
— +$0.26 · 5.1263 @ 0.950
Yes on S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 8?
— +$0.99 · 5.819276 @ 0.830
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.