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MC

Mcartny

0x4000…b84apolymarket ↗last active 13m ago
All-time PnL
-$132.05
Win rate
44.8%
45 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$1.38
30d PnL
-$132.05
30d trades
100
30d wins
43
43.0%
30d volume
$9.69k
Category edge
Sports
0.0%
-49.8pp
n=6
Crypto
47.8%
-29.6pp
n=90

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
44.8% (43 wins / 53 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 27 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$33.60
-$152.32
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 91%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 91% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.22 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $20Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.30 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $19.64 · p90 $300.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·13m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
592.2146 @ 0.484
BUY·27m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
-$56.00 · 204.902856 @ 0.273
BUY·35m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
-$15.60 · 19.5 @ 0.800
SELL·35m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
+$379.26 · 615.38 @ 0.616
BUY·36m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
-$400.00 · 615.384614 @ 0.650
SELL·43m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
-$8.43 · 421.5 @ 0.980
BUY·46m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
+$219.18 · 421.5 @ 0.480
BUY·56m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
+$58.75 · 209.805553 @ 0.720
SELL·57m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
+$158.55 · 294.78 @ 0.538
BUY·58m ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
-$160.39 · 294.787817 @ 0.544
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
+$172.15 · 366.73 @ 0.469
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
-$188.05 · 366.736537 @ 0.513
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Yes on Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
868.92 @ 0.229
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
-$509.00 · 1146.529332 @ 0.444
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
-$39.18 · 186.56 @ 0.790
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
-$100.28 · 488.46 @ 0.795
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
+$303.86 · 675.02948 @ 0.550
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
-$9.10 · 393.34 @ 0.977
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$175.58 · 393.34839 @ 0.554
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
-$0.63 · 63.15 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
+$3.16 · 63.15788 @ 0.950
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
-$7.00 · 105.581427 @ 0.066
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
-$77.70 · 303.03 @ 0.744
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
+$103.03 · 303.030302 @ 0.660
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$246.60 · 468.06 @ 0.473
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$245.95 · 468.069165 @ 0.475
SELL·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
+$21.24 · 36 @ 0.590
BUY·1h ago·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$18.00 · 36 @ 0.500
SELL·2h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
-$18.00 · 37.5 @ 0.520
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
+$19.50 · 37.5 @ 0.480
SELL·2h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$19.57 · 39.15 @ 0.500
BUY·2h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
+$19.19 · 39.156861 @ 0.510
SELL·3h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
-$11.97 · 33.26 @ 0.640
BUY·3h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$14.30 · 33.263155 @ 0.570
SELL·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
-$4.04 · 23.75 @ 0.830
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$4.75 · 23.75 @ 0.800
SELL·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$12.68 · 32.52 @ 0.610
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$14.64 · 32.527271 @ 0.550
SELL·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$18.26 · 37.26 @ 0.510
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
+$21.99 · 37.268291 @ 0.410
SELL·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
-$19.98 · 36.32 @ 0.450
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$24.32 · 36.323528 @ 0.330
SELL·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
-$12.74 · 26 @ 0.510
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$13.00 · 26 @ 0.500
SELL·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
+$13.09 · 21.81 @ 0.600
BUY·4h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
-$12.00 · 21.81818 @ 0.550
SELL·6h agoageing·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Yes on Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 @ 0.229
BUY·1d agostale·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Yes on Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
-$1.00 · 1000 @ 0.001
BUY·1d agostale·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Over on Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5
-$10.00 · 76.923075 @ 0.130
BUY·1d agostale·0x4000…b84awhy? →
Over on Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5
-$10.00 · 12.625 @ 0.792
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.