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0x3f85…3364polymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
$10.1k
Win rate
62.0%
62 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$186.37
30d PnL
$9.32k
30d trades
100
30d wins
31
31.0%
30d volume
$93.9k
Category edge
Sports
45.7%
+0.2pp
n=35

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
41.5% (39 wins / 55 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 31 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 23-day series
$7.83k
-$639.31
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.24 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.62Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $921Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.83 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 62¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $920.79 · p90 $2.00k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 15:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·22m ago·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
715.63 @ 0.991
SELL·23m ago·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-09-19?
2021.74 @ 0.994
SELL·23m ago·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-19?
2608 @ 0.993
SELL·1h ago·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
-$0.93 · 925.93 @ 0.999
BUY·5h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-09-19?
2021.742856 @ 0.700
SELL·5h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$166.20 · 1612.9 @ 0.897
BUY·5h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
715.63636 @ 0.770
SELL·5h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
-$435.18 · 925.92 @ 0.530
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
+$851.85 · 1851.851852 @ 0.540
SELL·6h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$155.17 · 1724.13 @ 0.090
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$612.90 · 1612.903226 @ 0.620
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-19?
2608 @ 0.767
BUY·8h agoageing·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$1000.00 · 1724.13793 @ 0.580
SELL·1d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will FC Groningen win on 2026-09-18?
-$1.57 · 1570.6 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?
+$444.44 · 1851.85 @ 0.240
BUY·1d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?
-$1.00k · 1851.851852 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 1. FC Union Berlin?
-$50.00 · 555.555556 @ 0.090
BUY·1d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will FC Groningen win on 2026-09-18?
+$570.60 · 1570.600625 @ 0.637
BUY·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?
+$408.45 · 1408.450703 @ 0.710
BUY·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-09-17?
+$690.48 · 1190.476191 @ 0.420
BUY·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will FK Rostov vs. FK Dinamo Moskva end in a draw?
-$200.00 · 689.655173 @ 0.290
SELL·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?
-$1.52 · 1515.15 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.16 · 157.62 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.63 · 630.71 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.55 · 545 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Real Racing Club on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
+$70.00 · 1000 @ 0.070
BUY·3d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Real Racing Club on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
-$700.00 · 1372.54902 @ 0.510
BUY·3d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?
+$515.15 · 1515.151514 @ 0.660
BUY·3d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?
+$333.33 · 1333.333332 @ 0.750
SELL·5d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-14?
-$1.88 · 1875.11 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-14?
+$875.11 · 1875.11 @ 0.533
SELL·8d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-11?
-$133.33 · 1666.66 @ 0.920
BUY·8d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-11?
+$666.67 · 1666.666667 @ 0.600
BUY·9d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
-$200.00 · 869.565218 @ 0.230
BUY·9d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?
-$1000.00 · 1515.151514 @ 0.660
SELL·10d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
-$168.27 · 1503.13 @ 0.888
SELL·10d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-09?
-$1.33 · 1325.4 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
+$601.25 · 1503.133332 @ 0.600
BUY·10d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
VfB Stuttgart on Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
+$543.10 · 1293.103447 @ 0.580
SELL·11d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?
-$134.09 · 1818.18 @ 0.926
BUY·12d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-09?
+$265.40 · 1325.4 @ 0.800
BUY·12d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Australia on Belgium vs. Australia
-$500.00 · 848.838982 @ 0.589
BUY·12d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?
+$818.18 · 1818.181817 @ 0.550
BUY·13d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-06?
-$250.00 · 833.333332 @ 0.300
BUY·13d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
+$377.19 · 877.192981 @ 0.570
BUY·13d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-06?
-$1000.00 · 1923.076922 @ 0.520
BUY·13d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
+$392.86 · 892.85714 @ 0.560
BUY·13d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-09-06?
-$1.50k · 2500 @ 0.600
SELL·14d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?
-$1.34 · 1343.59 @ 0.999
SELL·14d agostale·0x3f85…3364why? →
Yes on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?
-$325.33 · 351.32 @ 0.074
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.