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NI

niulai1

0x3eac…724epolymarket ↗last active 10m ago
All-time PnL
-$37.27
Win rate
65.5%
65 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.68
30d PnL
-$37.27
30d trades
100
30d wins
36
36.0%
30d volume
$2.71k
Category edge
Crypto
62.9%
-3.8pp
n=97

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
62.9% (61 wins / 36 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$119.68
-$37.27
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.74 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.70Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $20Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.84 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 70¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $20.00 · p90 $50.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 06:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·10m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
10.41665 @ 0.960
BUY·11m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
31.578948 @ 0.950
BUY·11m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
8.19672 @ 0.610
BUY·16m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$6.18 · 31.182927 @ 0.802
BUY·16m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$6.25 · 31.25 @ 0.800
BUY·16m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$6.25 · 31.25 @ 0.800
BUY·16m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$6.50 · 31.5 @ 0.794
SELL·16m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$7.99 · 34.72 @ 0.230
BUY·17m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
-$25.00 · 34.722221 @ 0.720
SELL·19m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$6.63 · 10.2 @ 0.650
BUY·20m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
-$5.00 · 10.204082 @ 0.490
SELL·26m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
-$1.18 · 23.52 @ 0.950
BUY·28m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
+$3.53 · 23.529406 @ 0.850
BUY·32m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
-$20.00 · 34.482759 @ 0.580
BUY·35m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
+$3.56 · 118.5567 @ 0.970
SELL·36m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
-$4.20 · 20 @ 0.790
BUY·37m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
+$16.00 · 40 @ 0.600
BUY·46m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$92.30 · 192.3 @ 0.520
BUY·47m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$20.00 · 26.315787 @ 0.760
BUY·47m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$30.00 · 38.961039 @ 0.770
SELL·52m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
+$39.20 · 80 @ 0.490
BUY·52m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
-$10.00 · 20 @ 0.500
BUY·52m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
-$30.00 · 60 @ 0.500
BUY·57m ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$50.00 · 185.185186 @ 0.270
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$20.00 · 24.386264 @ 0.820
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$20.00 · 21.05262 @ 0.950
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$10.00 · 11.235954 @ 0.890
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$50.00 · 57.47 @ 0.870
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$23.00 · 26.136358 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$3.00 · 3.448276 @ 0.870
SELL·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
-$0.31 · 31.25 @ 0.990
SELL·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
-$5.63 · 93.75 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
+$25.00 · 125 @ 0.800
SELL·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
+$1.80 · 10 @ 0.180
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
-$1.40 · 10 @ 0.140
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
+$11.58 · 60.97 @ 0.810
SELL·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
-$5.29 · 17.07 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
+$20.15 · 34.146342 @ 0.410
BUY·1h ago·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$1.76 · 11.764706 @ 0.850
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
+$0.09 · 3.092784 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$0.02 · 2.0202 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
-$42.06 · 79.36 @ 0.530
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
+$2.79 · 17.44 @ 0.840
BUY·3h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
-$15.00 · 25.86 @ 0.580
BUY·3h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
+$1.00 · 10 @ 0.900
BUY·3h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
-$13.42 · 26.31 @ 0.510
BUY·4h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
+$2.02 · 16.85 @ 0.880
BUY·4h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
-$13.08 · 17.44 @ 0.750
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
+$13.91 · 27.27 @ 0.490
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3eac…724ewhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
+$2.50 · 16.66 @ 0.850
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.