No on Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
— 56.12 @ 0.210
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ZE
zelot
All-time PnL
$149.71
Win rate
78.0%
78 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.54
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
4
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$521.38
Category edge
Sports
72.3%
+25.1pp
n=47
Crypto
75.0%
+19.8pp
n=36
World
71.4%
-11.9pp
n=7
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
73.7% (70 wins / 25 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 19 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 8-day series
$149.70
-$30.26
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Sports 47%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 47% of categorized trades — a lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.87 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $6 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.73 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 87¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $6.28 · p90 $20.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 15:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 99.99 @ 0.766
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 500 @ 0.750
Yes on NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
— 200 @ 0.290
No on US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
— +$18.00 · 100 @ 0.820
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
— +$4.44 · 44.44444 @ 0.900
No on Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
— +$40.85 · 140.845068 @ 0.710
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
— +$116.67 · 416.666664 @ 0.720
Yes on Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
— -$30.00 · 104.951723 @ 0.286
Yes on Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
— -$10.00 · 71.42857 @ 0.140
Yes on 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
— 40.816325 @ 0.490
No on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
— +$18.67 · 186.666665 @ 0.900
No on Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-22?
— +$0.40 · 5 @ 0.920
No on Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 22?
— +$0.12 · 6 @ 0.980
No on Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 22?
— +$0.26 · 13 @ 0.980
Down on Solana Up or Down - December 22, 10AM ET
— -$5.40 · 6.923072 @ 0.780
Down on XRP Up or Down - December 22, 10AM ET
— +$0.81 · 6.206892 @ 0.870
No on Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 22?
— +$0.40 · 8 @ 0.950
Up on Solana Up or Down on December 22?
— +$0.74 · 8.263733 @ 0.910
Fordham Rams on New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Rams
— +$0.54 · 6 @ 0.910
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 22?
— +$0.22 · 11 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?
— +$0.24 · 11.134954 @ 0.978
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 22?
— +$0.14 · 12.0236 @ 0.988
Up on Ethereum Up or Down on December 22?
— +$0.40 · 10.10415 @ 0.960
Up on XRP Up or Down on December 22?
— +$0.40 · 8 @ 0.950
No on Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 22?
— +$0.45 · 4.089881 @ 0.890
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?
— +$0.22 · 11 @ 0.980
No on Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 22?
— +$0.12 · 12 @ 0.990
Fordham Rams on New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Rams
— +$0.51 · 5.05555 @ 0.900
Down on Solana Up or Down - December 22, 8AM ET
— -$12.48 · 35.657141 @ 0.350
Yes on Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
— +$0.28 · 14.14285 @ 0.980
Yes on Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
— +$0.40 · 10.10415 @ 0.960
No on Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
— +$0.43 · 11.103 @ 0.961
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 8PM ET
— -$0.01 · 14 @ 0.999
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 8PM ET
— +$0.28 · 14 @ 0.980
Texans on Raiders vs. Texans
— -$0.42 · 2.02 @ 0.790
Spurs on Spurs vs. Wizards
— +$0.51 · 5.05555 @ 0.900
Connecticut Huskies on Connecticut Huskies vs. DePaul Blue Demons
— -$4.05 · 15 @ 0.730
Gonzaga Bulldogs on Oregon Ducks vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
— +$0.40 · 4 @ 0.900
Illinois State Redbirds on Indiana State Sycamores vs. Illinois State Redbirds
— +$0.60 · 6 @ 0.900
Minnesota Golden Gophers on Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
— +$0.57 · 7.076075 @ 0.920
Connecticut Huskies on Connecticut Huskies vs. DePaul Blue Demons
— +$0.73 · 8.087911 @ 0.910
Illinois State Redbirds on Indiana State Sycamores vs. Illinois State Redbirds
— +$0.44 · 4.044936 @ 0.890
Connecticut Huskies on Connecticut Huskies vs. DePaul Blue Demons
— +$0.64 · 7.153844 @ 0.910
Down on Solana Up or Down - December 21, 1PM ET
— -$0.01 · 11.23 @ 0.999
Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
— +$2.77 · 4.03 @ 0.688
No on Will Comoros win on 2025-12-21?
— -$0.78 · 11.2 @ 0.930
Down on Solana Up or Down - December 21, 1PM ET
— +$0.67 · 11.234033 @ 0.940
No on Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2025-12-21?
— -$0.02 · 22.22 @ 0.999
Over on 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
— -$0.02 · 16.27 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.