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SA

Saucin

0x3dcf…ad70polymarket ↗last active 27m ago
All-time PnL
-$12.6k
Win rate
39.0%
30 of 77
Total trades
77
Avg PnL / trade
-$306.95
30d PnL
-$263.58
30d trades
6
30d wins
2
33.3%
30d volume
$1.81k
Category edge
Sports
26.0%
-20.1pp
n=73

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
26.0% (19 wins / 54 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 26-day series
$477.00
-$11.8k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 77 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.79 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $111Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.12 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 77 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $111.00 · p90 $1.10k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 21:00 · 77 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·27m ago·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
BAL on Spread: BAL (-8.5)
2240 @ 0.490
BUY·29m ago·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
BAL on Spread: BAL (-8.5)
78 @ 0.547
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Packers on Packers vs. Jets: 1H Moneyline
500 @ 0.570
BUY·1d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Over on Bowling Green vs. Iowa State: O/U 43.5
+$49.02 · 98.03 @ 0.500
BUY·9d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown
-$318.94 · 797.34 @ 0.400
BUY·26d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Golden State Valkyries on Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$6.34 · 24.37 @ 0.740
BUY·45d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Over on Jake Bauers: Home Runs O/U 0.5
-$157.85 · 3157 @ 0.050
BUY·49d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?
-$6.30k · 10000 @ 0.630
SELL·56d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
No on Fight to Go the Distance?
-$0.54 · 539.24 @ 0.999
SELL·56d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
No on Fight to Go the Distance?
-$0.47 · 470 @ 0.999
SELL·56d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
No on Fight to Go the Distance?
-$0.51 · 505 @ 0.999
SELL·56d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
No on Fight to Go the Distance?
-$2.73 · 2729.22 @ 0.999
SELL·56d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
No on Fight to Go the Distance?
-$0.76 · 756.54 @ 0.999
SELL·57d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Valter Walker on UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)
-$15.33 · 1960.9 @ 0.992
BUY·57d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Valter Walker on UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)
+$686.31 · 1960.9 @ 0.650
BUY·57d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
No on Fight to Go the Distance?
+$822.66 · 3290.66 @ 0.750
BUY·63d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Argentina on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$2.14k · 5150 @ 0.415
SELL·71d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Over on Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
+$874.00 · 1900 @ 0.460
BUY·71d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
-$1.33k · 2837.41 @ 0.470
BUY·93d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
-$1.08k · 2030 @ 0.530
BUY·100d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Over on Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
-$100.00 · 204.081631 @ 0.490
BUY·103d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Celine Naef on Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo
+$47.42 · 112.9 @ 0.580
BUY·103d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva on Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri
+$67.50 · 250 @ 0.730
BUY·103d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Andrea Lazaro Garcia on Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher
-$62.70 · 110 @ 0.570
BUY·103d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva on Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri
+$41.50 · 153.69 @ 0.730
BUY·103d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Andrea Lazaro Garcia on Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher
-$61.60 · 110 @ 0.560
BUY·120d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Thiago Agustin Tirante on Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
+$462.56 · 1005.555554 @ 0.540
BUY·120d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Frances Tiafoe on Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe
+$136.36 · 1136.363633 @ 0.880
BUY·121d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Casper Ruud on Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone
-$422.00 · 555.263154 @ 0.760
BUY·122d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Daniel Altmaier on Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier
-$987.06 · 3084.5625 @ 0.320
BUY·122d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Daniel Altmaier on Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier
-$63.76 · 199.25 @ 0.320
BUY·143d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Lakers on Rockets vs. Lakers
-$200.00 · 327.868851 @ 0.610
BUY·143d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Lakers on Rockets vs. Lakers
-$100.00 · 163.934425 @ 0.610
BUY·145d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Cameron Norrie on Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie
-$94.23 · 2503.508263 @ 0.038
BUY·156d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Warriors on Spread: Suns (-3.5)
-$145.59 · 285.470606 @ 0.510
BUY·196d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Max Holloway on UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
-$325.00 · 500 @ 0.650
BUY·209d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
North Carolina Tar Heels on Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
+$63.91 · 116.2 @ 0.450
BUY·211d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
VCU Rams on Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)
-$298.71 · 609.621 @ 0.490
BUY·211d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Under on Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 133.5
-$131.34 · 247.8204 @ 0.530
BUY·212d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
No on Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5
+$0.13 · 13.15 @ 0.990
BUY·212d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Under on Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 217.5
+$106.00 · 200 @ 0.470
BUY·212d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
VCU Rams on VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens
-$120.00 · 500 @ 0.240
BUY·212d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Over on Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5
-$40.91 · 90.9 @ 0.450
BUY·213d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 3.5
-$135.00 · 300 @ 0.450
BUY·213d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5
-$1.85 · 5 @ 0.370
BUY·213d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5
-$2.59 · 7 @ 0.370
BUY·213d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5
-$6.24 · 17 @ 0.367
BUY·213d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5
-$65.86 · 178 @ 0.370
BUY·213d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5
-$3.60 · 10 @ 0.360
BUY·213d agostale·0x3dcf…ad70why? →
Yes on T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5
-$1.42 · 6.45 @ 0.220
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.