No on Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 778 @ 0.999
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86
86lsm
All-time PnL
$180.14
Win rate
100.0%
10 of 10
Total trades
10
Avg PnL / trade
$22.52
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
2
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$1.33k
Category edge
Science & Tech
100.0%
+21.4pp
n=6
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
100.0% (8 wins / 0 misses)Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$180.14
$0.00
Trading pattern
Science & Tech Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Science & Tech 80%
Why Science & Tech Specialistmedium confidence · 10 trades
Category focus: Science & Tech 80% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Science & Tech specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.97 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $665 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.44 (consistent) — Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.
⚠ Based on 10 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 97¢ · 10 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $664.95 · p90 $1.19k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 14:00 · 10 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 561.84 @ 0.984
No on Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
— +$3.33 · 832.35 @ 0.996
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
— +$19.93 · 498.24 @ 0.960
Yes on Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
— +$86.30 · 507.65 @ 0.830
No on Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
— +$4.80 · 400 @ 0.988
No on Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
— +$0.80 · 400 @ 0.998
No on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
— +$2.44 · 1219 @ 0.998
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
— +$16.91 · 1208 @ 0.986
Yes on Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
— +$45.64 · 1200.93 @ 0.962
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.