No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 600 @ 0.250
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0X
0x3Cb7DBd837a2761F43286f26ABd459100ca8F8BA-1767904230291
All-time PnL
$1.24k
Win rate
8.1%
5 of 65
Total trades
65
Avg PnL / trade
$33.61
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
2
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$250.00
Category edge
Crypto
25.0%
-43.5pp
n=8
Politics
0.0%
-40.0pp
n=7
Sports
18.2%
-33.8pp
n=11
Science & Tech
0.0%
-20.0pp
n=12
World
28.0%
-19.4pp
n=25
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
17.5% (11 wins / 52 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 15-day series
$1.95k
-$946.49
Trading pattern
World-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-hunterBuy-leaning · World 42%
Why World-Leaninghigh confidence · 65 trades
Category focus: World 42% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.72 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.14 — Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $30 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.25 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 14¢ · 65 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $30.00 · p90 $185.80
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 18:00 · 65 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
— 549.341579 @ 0.182
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
— -$1.00 · 2 @ 0.500
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
— +$1.11 · 2.17 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
— -$1.00 · 2.380951 @ 0.420
No on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
— -$60.00 · 428.571427 @ 0.140
No on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
— -$50.00 · 2180.4368 @ 0.023
No on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
— -$350.00 · 2002.966665 @ 0.175
No on Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
— -$50.00 · 500 @ 0.100
Yes on Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
— -$151.30 · 537.825171 @ 0.281
Yes on Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
— -$50.00 · 183.465356 @ 0.273
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
— -$3.28 · 10.590908 @ 0.310
Yes on Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
— +$852.63 · 1052.631577 @ 0.190
Yes on Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
— +$699.73 · 874.6 @ 0.200
Yes on US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
— -$918.07 · 1092.94 @ 0.160
Yes on Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
— +$1.02k · 1263.7105 @ 0.195
Yes on Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
— -$327.95 · 409.94 @ 0.200
Yes on Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
— -$655.90 · 819.88 @ 0.200
Yes on Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
— +$1.34k · 1639.772 @ 0.182
Yes on US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
— +$907.14 · 1092.941175 @ 0.170
Yes on Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
— -$1.05k · 1238.68 @ 0.150
Yes on Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
— +$1.04k · 1238.6875 @ 0.160
TheMongolz on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
— -$26.64 · 115.826085 @ 0.230
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
— -$9.97 · 108.6216 @ 0.092
Yes on Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week? (February 15)
— -$10.00 · 229.86739 @ 0.044
Yes on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
— -$310.71 · 357.14 @ 0.130
TheMongolz on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
— -$54.00 · 317.647057 @ 0.170
Rebels Gaming on Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
— -$3.00 · 1658.755 @ 0.002
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
— -$53.54 · 111.54 @ 0.520
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
— +$63.29 · 109.857552 @ 0.424
TheMongolz on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
— -$50.00 · 227.272726 @ 0.220
Yes on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
— +$307.14 · 357.142856 @ 0.140
Yes on US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
— -$49.40 · 1411.42857 @ 0.035
Yes on US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
— -$49.69 · 993.8 @ 0.050
Yes on US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
— -$99.00 · 1414.285713 @ 0.070
Yes on US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
— -$40.26 · 402.6 @ 0.100
Yes on Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
— -$20.00 · 554.016577 @ 0.036
Yes on Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
— -$10.00 · 175.438595 @ 0.057
Yes on Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
— -$10.00 · 238.095238 @ 0.042
Yes on Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
— +$9.82 · 95.23 @ 0.103
Yes on Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
— +$10.39 · 78.12 @ 0.133
Yes on Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
— -$3.00 · 2937.63 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
— -$3.00 · 3000 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
— -$3.00 · 3000 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
— -$3.00 · 3000 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
— -$3.00 · 3000 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
— -$5.00 · 558.333333 @ 0.009
Yes on Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
— -$10.00 · 78.125 @ 0.128
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
— -$9.00 · 300.415936 @ 0.030
No on Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
— -$9.99 · 31.21875 @ 0.320
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.