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PA

Pan9X

0x3ca9…424apolymarket ↗last active 19m ago
All-time PnL
-$289.78
Win rate
43.2%
43 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$7.92
30d PnL
-$293.14
30d trades
100
30d wins
16
16.0%
30d volume
$2.93k
Category edge
Sports
41.2%
-11.8pp
n=68

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
41.2% (28 wins / 40 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$292.83
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $14Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.27 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $13.79 · p90 $71.61
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 01:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·19m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5
158.25 @ 0.560
BUY·20m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Under on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
14.8 @ 0.700
SELL·20m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
59 @ 0.300
BUY·22m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Under on Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5
0.48 @ 0.440
SELL·23m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Seattle Mariners on Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
87.95 @ 0.770
BUY·25m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Seattle Mariners on Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
112.520548 @ 0.730
BUY·26m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Baltimore Orioles on Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
100 @ 0.180
BUY·27m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Under on Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5
92 @ 0.370
BUY·28m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Liudmila Samsonova on Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns
43.76 @ 0.330
BUY·32m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Toronto Blue Jays on Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
87.75 @ 0.080
BUY·41m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
59 @ 0.290
BUY·42m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
91 @ 0.530
BUY·42m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Toronto Blue Jays on Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)
55 @ 0.270
BUY·43m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
88.5 @ 0.260
SELL·44m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Peyton Stearns on Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns
35 @ 0.480
BUY·45m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Chicago White Sox on Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)
61 @ 0.270
BUY·49m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5
82 @ 0.090
BUY·50m ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
57 @ 0.270
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
-$1.05 · 5 @ 0.210
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5
-$9.75 · 75 @ 0.130
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
-$13.14 · 73 @ 0.180
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
100.31 @ 0.490
SELL·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Hiromi Abe on W35 Kyoto: Rinko Matsuda vs Hiromi Abe
9.99 @ 0.870
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 15.5
126 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
-$9.02 · 82 @ 0.110
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Toronto Blue Jays on Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
50 @ 0.200
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)
-$13.49 · 71 @ 0.190
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)
+$16.39 · 74.5 @ 0.780
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Toronto Blue Jays on Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)
26 @ 0.290
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Houston Astros on Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)
65 @ 0.730
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
-$17.05 · 55 @ 0.310
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
+$0.10 · 5.010205 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Athletics on Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)
+$9.99 · 37 @ 0.730
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Pittsburgh Pirates on Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
+$0.25 · 5 @ 0.950
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Toronto Blue Jays on Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)
5 @ 0.270
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5
-$5.55 · 55.5 @ 0.100
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Under on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
59 @ 0.300
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Kansas City Royals on Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)
-$12.50 · 62.5 @ 0.200
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
New York Mets on Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)
+$4.97 · 14.2 @ 0.650
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Peyton Stearns on Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns
7.72 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)
+$0.12 · 6.06 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Nadia Podoroska on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
+$0.93 · 31 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
+$0.60 · 10 @ 0.940
SELL·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Chicago Cubs on Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
+$7.31 · 17 @ 0.430
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
+$50.97 · 118.54386 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
71 @ 0.170
SELL·1h ago·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5
5.13 @ 0.270
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Detroit Tigers on Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)
98.392858 @ 0.280
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Over on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5
58.1 @ 0.300
SELL·2h agoageing·0x3ca9…424awhy? →
Nadia Podoroska on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
-$2.70 · 3.92 @ 0.310
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.