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0x3bf57663998170f8Ca96c5E91fef4092A8aa2307-1780525562609

0x3bf5…2307polymarket ↗last active 42m ago
All-time PnL
$1.26k
Win rate
91.7%
92 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$35.97
30d PnL
$1.30k
30d trades
100
30d wins
33
33.0%
30d volume
$25.5k
Category edge
Sports
74.7%
+19.6pp
n=87

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
74.7% (65 wins / 22 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$1.47k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.40 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.79Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $207Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.46 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 79¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $207.49 · p90 $300.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 15:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·42m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
No on Will CA Belgrano vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?
380.41 @ 0.251
SELL·42m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
No on Will CA Belgrano vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?
6 @ 0.260
BUY·43m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
No on Will CA Belgrano vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?
60 @ 0.385
BUY·43m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
No on Will CA Belgrano vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?
340.3 @ 0.320
BUY·45m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on CA Belgrano vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5
11 @ 0.960
SELL·49m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
No on Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20?
10 @ 0.390
BUY·50m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
No on Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20?
121 @ 0.400
BUY·57m ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20?
1111.11 @ 0.245
BUY·1h ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20?
11 @ 0.665
SELL·1h ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-20?
123.88 @ 0.370
BUY·1h ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on CR Flamengo vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5
50 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on CA Paranaense vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score
133.59 @ 0.957
SELL·1h ago·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on CA Paranaense vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5
2238.98 @ 0.999
SELL·2h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
-$0.07 · 69.45 @ 0.999
SELL·2h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
No on CA Platense vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Score
-$0.07 · 65.46 @ 0.999
BUY·3h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
+$3.77 · 94.19 @ 0.960
BUY·3h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
+$9.30 · 42.27 @ 0.780
SELL·3h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
-$0.01 · 0.54 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
+$93.34 · 291.69 @ 0.680
BUY·4h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
+$4.84 · 36.5 @ 0.867
SELL·4h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Under on Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
-$8.15 · 13.15 @ 0.380
SELL·4h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
-$5.76 · 10.47 @ 0.450
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
+$15.79 · 315.78 @ 0.950
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
+$21.90 · 315.78 @ 0.931
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$15.79 · 315.78 @ 0.950
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
+$6.12 · 306.12 @ 0.980
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
+$0.88 · 43.88 @ 0.980
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
+$1.99 · 99.49 @ 0.980
BUY·6h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
+$9.28 · 309.27 @ 0.970
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Under on Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
+$1.36 · 34 @ 0.960
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$4.59 · 153 @ 0.970
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$10.56 · 309.27 @ 0.966
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5
+$18.76 · 315.78 @ 0.941
BUY·7h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5
+$10.42 · 309.27 @ 0.966
BUY·8h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Yes on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
+$10.28 · 257 @ 0.960
BUY·8h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
+$12.50 · 312.5 @ 0.960
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
+$9.15 · 304.85 @ 0.970
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
+$18.75 · 312.5 @ 0.940
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
+$29.03 · 322.58 @ 0.910
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
+$29.03 · 322.58 @ 0.910
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
+$3.01 · 33.48 @ 0.910
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
+$29.03 · 322.58 @ 0.910
SELL·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
-$167.71 · 729.19 @ 0.770
SELL·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
-$45.87 · 208.52 @ 0.780
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Under on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
+$39.29 · 357.14 @ 0.890
SELL·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 7.5
-$1.90 · 1902.17 @ 0.999
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 7.5
+$10.00 · 100 @ 0.900
BUY·9h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 7.5
+$15.79 · 315.78 @ 0.950
BUY·10h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 6.5
+$9.30 · 300 @ 0.969
BUY·10h agoageing·0x3bf5…2307why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 6.5
+$9.09 · 303.03 @ 0.970
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.