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MI

Mightgai

0x3ac2…f949polymarket ↗last active 37m ago
All-time PnL
$5.69k
Win rate
43.5%
43 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$123.64
30d PnL
$5.69k
30d trades
100
30d wins
20
20.0%
30d volume
$32.4k
Category edge
Sports
24.5%
-15.1pp
n=49

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
24.5% (12 wins / 37 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 18 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 8-day series
$313.21
-$660.82
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.41Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $173Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.17 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 41¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $172.88 · p90 $867.86
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 15:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·37m ago·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
1536.125843 @ 0.639
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: AS Roma O/U 2.5
+$337.65 · 559.65 @ 0.397
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Will AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? AND Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
2630.449236 @ 0.081
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
1829.982722 @ 0.058
BUY·2h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: AS Roma O/U 2.5
3386.315787 @ 0.189
BUY·3h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5 AND Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
2975.503939 @ 0.475
BUY·4h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Over on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
-$150.00 · 262.858528 @ 0.571
BUY·4h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Yes on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
-$222.00 · 716.129033 @ 0.310
BUY·10h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
-$150.00 · 681.818182 @ 0.220
BUY·11h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-09-19? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
802.780244 @ 0.301
BUY·11h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score AND VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score AND Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
1559.67238 @ 0.068
BUY·11h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5 AND Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 AND Kristiansund BK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5 AND Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 AND Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5
860.093359 @ 0.375
BUY·12h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 AND Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
1139.268179 @ 0.187
SELL·22h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 AND AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
2131.549023 @ 0.993
BUY·22h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
-$69.00 · 186.486487 @ 0.370
BUY·22h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5
-$69.00 · 303.964758 @ 0.227
BUY·23h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 AND AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
551.565383 @ 0.120
BUY·23h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
-$69.00 · 222.580646 @ 0.310
BUY·23h agoageing·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
-$69.00 · 363.157895 @ 0.190
BUY·1d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 AND AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
2131.549023 @ 0.509
BUY·1d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Yes on Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17?
+$244.74 · 394.736843 @ 0.380
BUY·1d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Yes on Will Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
-$69.00 · 246.428572 @ 0.280
BUY·1d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Will Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw? AND Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
1030.119228 @ 0.064
SELL·1d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
-$0.33 · 325 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
+$156.00 · 325 @ 0.520
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Yes on Will Juventus FC vs. NEC end in a draw?
-$82.00 · 745.454546 @ 0.110
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?
1056.854102 @ 0.202
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 AND OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 AND Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5 AND Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5 AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17?
975.311899 @ 0.330
SELL·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 AND Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? AND Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
756.740029 @ 0.992
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 AND Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? AND Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
756.740029 @ 0.119
SELL·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 0.5
-$115.35 · 288.37 @ 0.600
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 AND Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? AND Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?
518.049513 @ 0.227
SELL·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5
-$170.38 · 293.75 @ 0.420
SELL·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: AC Milan O/U 0.5
-$337.90 · 572.72 @ 0.410
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5
+$199.75 · 293.75 @ 0.320
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 0.5
+$164.37 · 288.372094 @ 0.430
BUY·2d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: AC Milan O/U 0.5
+$383.73 · 572.727273 @ 0.330
BUY·3d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5 AND AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: AC Milan O/U 0.5 AND Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 AND SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5 AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5 AND Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?
973.01687 @ 0.331
BUY·3d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score AND Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 1.5 AND MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 0.5 AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?
1233.534969 @ 0.260
SELL·3d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
-$1.06 · 1056.45 @ 0.999
BUY·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Yes on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
-$222.00 · 528.571429 @ 0.420
BUY·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
+$823.46 · 1056.456667 @ 0.221
BUY·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 AND Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 AND Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
1151.235049 @ 0.190
BUY·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 AND Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5 AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
2121.279533 @ 0.459
BUY·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 AND Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5 AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
752.95 @ 0.430
SELL·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? AND Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
422.430379 @ 0.933
SELL·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
on Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score AND FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5 AND Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
1079.644259 @ 0.995
BUY·4d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Under on Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 0.5
-$222.00 · 343.00103 @ 0.647
BUY·5d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
No on Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
-$67.00 · 191.428572 @ 0.350
BUY·5d agostale·0x3ac2…f949why? →
Yes on Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
-$123.00 · 518.965 @ 0.237
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.