Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19?
— 107.47 @ 0.995
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LO
LoogLong
All-time PnL
$338.49
Win rate
79.4%
79 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$9.96
30d PnL
$338.49
30d trades
100
30d wins
27
27.0%
30d volume
$6.93k
Category edge
Weather
70.7%
-0.3pp
n=92
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
70.7% (65 wins / 27 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 15 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 10-day series
$338.81
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.74 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $36 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.19 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 74¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $36.26 · p90 $201.25
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 17:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19?
— 74 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19?
— 152.69 @ 0.950
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19?
— 84.97 @ 0.660
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19?
— 60 @ 0.650
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 19?
— 50 @ 0.800
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 19?
— 43.41 @ 0.774
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 19?
— 240 @ 0.839
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18?
— -$0.32 · 319.3 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18?
— +$1.65 · 165.39 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18?
— +$0.96 · 48 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18?
— +$0.30 · 30 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18?
— +$3.26 · 105.91 @ 0.969
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18?
— +$0.50 · 25 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18?
— +$0.50 · 25 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18?
— +$0.50 · 25 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18?
— +$0.50 · 25 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18?
— +$0.31 · 15.65 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 18?
— +$0.48 · 2.51 @ 0.190
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 18?
— +$11.78 · 74.83 @ 0.843
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 18?
— +$19.60 · 70 @ 0.720
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 18?
— +$7.40 · 20 @ 0.370
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 18?
— -$6.53 · 22.51 @ 0.290
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 17?
— +$4.27 · 213.62 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 17?
— +$8.98 · 99.8 @ 0.910
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 17?
— +$18.29 · 207.5 @ 0.912
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 16?
— -$0.32 · 317.11 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 16?
— +$92.73 · 317.11 @ 0.708
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 15?
— -$0.22 · 220 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 15?
— -$0.17 · 168 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 15?
— +$3.36 · 168 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 20°C on September 15?
— +$12.77 · 137.02 @ 0.907
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 15?
— -$0.04 · 39.99 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 15?
— +$3.60 · 39.99 @ 0.910
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 15?
— +$1.40 · 30 @ 0.047
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 15?
— +$14.00 · 200 @ 0.930
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 15?
— -$12.09 · 24.99 @ 0.516
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 15?
— -$9.60 · 20 @ 0.520
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 15?
— -$52.79 · 97.32 @ 0.458
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on September 15?
— +$6.00 · 300 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 15?
— -$25.42 · 129 @ 0.803
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 15?
— +$57.28 · 112.31 @ 0.490
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 15?
— +$35.10 · 129 @ 0.728
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 15?
— -$0.01 · 5 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 15?
— -$12.90 · 30 @ 0.430
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 15?
— +$20.40 · 30 @ 0.320
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 15?
— +$0.10 · 5 @ 0.980
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 15?
— +$2.80 · 20 @ 0.860
No on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14?
— -$37.00 · 50 @ 0.740
Yes on Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 13?
— +$0.74 · 2 @ 0.630
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.