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patobmw

0x38fb…dacfpolymarket ↗last active 10m ago
All-time PnL
-$466.91
Win rate
30.8%
31 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$35.92
30d PnL
-$466.91
30d trades
100
30d wins
4
4.0%
30d volume
$8.82k
Category edge
Crypto
46.8%
+3.7pp
n=77

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
46.8% (37 wins / 42 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 96%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 96% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.82 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.47Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $30Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.88 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 47¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $30.00 · p90 $289.18
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·10m ago·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on North Carolina vs. Clemson AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
511.870347 @ 0.249
BUY·30m ago·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score AND Stanford vs. Duke AND Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware
977.517217 @ 0.499
BUY·4h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Caldas da Rainha: Lisa Pigato vs Jeline Vandromme AND Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
1051.611296 @ 0.275
BUY·4h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Caldas da Rainha: Lisa Pigato vs Jeline Vandromme AND Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
870.088841 @ 0.334
BUY·7h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on LoL: MVK Academy vs 1TAP Dino (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season AND Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs
1290.359384 @ 0.268
SELL·7h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
726.29 @ 0.494
BUY·9h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage AND LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
1356.33859 @ 0.170
SELL·21h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs AND RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5
1363.824311 @ 0.000
BUY·21h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs AND Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa AND Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
232.729065 @ 0.597
BUY·22h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs AND RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5
1363.824311 @ 0.355
BUY·22h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs AND Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? AND Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?
1480.486433 @ 0.327
SELL·22h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl on KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk
-$1.14 · 1142.84 @ 0.999
BUY·23h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner AND Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce Nakashima
128.623759 @ 0.437
SELL·23h agoageing·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner AND Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
874.130914 @ 0.000
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner AND Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
874.130914 @ 0.276
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs AND Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
899.239353 @ 0.214
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs AND Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
844.591761 @ 0.228
SELL·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
752.073294 @ 0.000
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs AND Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
1147.557546 @ 0.252
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner AND Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
368.543819 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
752.073294 @ 0.256
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UPGRADE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
858.336615 @ 0.454
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl on KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk
+$442.85 · 1142.849355 @ 0.613
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$4.70 · 8.695653 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$22.55 · 42.553192 @ 0.470
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$51.08 · 81.081082 @ 0.370
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$63.75 · 93.75 @ 0.320
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$46.92 · 76.923077 @ 0.390
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$35.22 · 65.217392 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$30.00 · 60 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$30.00 · 60 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$33.00 · 63 @ 0.476
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$35.22 · 65.217392 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$31.00 · 60.999 @ 0.492
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$30.00 · 60 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$30.56 · 60.56 @ 0.495
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$31.22 · 61.22449 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$31.22 · 61.22449 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$32.50 · 62.5 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$32.50 · 62.5 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$32.50 · 62.5 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$32.50 · 62.5 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$33.83 · 63.829788 @ 0.470
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$33.83 · 63.829788 @ 0.470
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$32.90 · 62.895834 @ 0.477
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$34.16 · 64.164469 @ 0.468
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$31.85 · 61.854286 @ 0.485
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$32.50 · 62.5 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$26.60 · 56.603774 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0x38fb…dacfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$25.56 · 55.555556 @ 0.540
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.