Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
— -$50.00 · 5000 @ 0.010
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PO
polorna
All-time PnL
-$2.78k
Win rate
20.0%
20 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$68.31
30d PnL
-$2.39k
30d trades
100
30d wins
7
7.0%
30d volume
$62.9k
Category edge
Crypto
21.4%
-51.6pp
n=14
Sports
40.6%
-6.4pp
n=69
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
37.3% (31 wins / 52 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 19 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 18-day series
$14.5k
-$10.7k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 85%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 85% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.24 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.21 — Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $127 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.22 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 21¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $127.50 · p90 $1.67k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 21:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
— -$50.00 · 178.571427 @ 0.280
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
— -$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— -$25.00 · 421.1425 @ 0.059
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— -$253.60 · 508.52 @ 0.501
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— +$242.53 · 508.526036 @ 0.523
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— -$25.00 · 227.272726 @ 0.110
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— -$100.00 · 535.943683 @ 0.187
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$204.65 · 300.96 @ 0.680
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— -$186.00 · 300.96111 @ 0.618
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
— -$186.00 · 573.927877 @ 0.324
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$2.94 · 293.93 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— +$99.94 · 293.939391 @ 0.660
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— -$134.00 · 273.469386 @ 0.490
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
— 5016.43 @ 0.377
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
— 5016.439527 @ 0.334
Kamaru Usman on UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
— +$3.43 · 686.36 @ 0.005
Kamaru Usman on UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
— -$32.23 · 293 @ 0.110
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$23.49 · 57.3 @ 0.590
Kamaru Usman on UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
— -$98.11 · 393.36 @ 0.249
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$72.66 · 177.23 @ 0.590
on Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5)
— 685.703248 @ 0.062
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
— 1425.73 @ 0.033
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
— 1425.736284 @ 0.029
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$11.56 · 27.66 @ 0.582
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$2.46k · 5880.14 @ 0.582
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 13136.22 @ 0.277
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 18.023597 @ 0.339
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 2497.538478 @ 0.341
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 10620.660636 @ 0.320
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 144.79 @ 0.303
England on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
— -$121.00 · 1728.571427 @ 0.070
Argentina on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
— -$239.37 · 4772.17 @ 0.950
on Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
— 781.276594 @ 0.047
Argentina on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
— +$14.71 · 27.372971 @ 0.462
Argentina on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
— +$2.55k · 4744.8 @ 0.463
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 2780.2 @ 0.157
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 58.95 @ 0.148
Yes on Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$920.85 · 4821.21 @ 0.191
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$8.38k · 20002.21 @ 0.581
Yes on Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$8.96 · 47.157893 @ 0.190
Yes on Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$907.07 · 4774.05263 @ 0.190
France on France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
— -$1.44k · 4162.318839 @ 0.345
on Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? AND Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland? AND Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
— 13554.316398 @ 0.005
Egypt on Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
— -$9.26 · 61.733332 @ 0.150
Yes on Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$200.20 · 7150 @ 0.028
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$3.15k · 3600 @ 0.126
Yes on Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$12.59 · 406.18 @ 0.031
Yes on Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$15.59 · 577.36 @ 0.027
Yes on Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
— -$12.09 · 241.8 @ 0.050
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.