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xcxrnbplus

0x37d0…2121polymarket ↗last active 19m ago
All-time PnL
-$74.22
Win rate
47.4%
18 of 37
Total trades
37
Avg PnL / trade
-$22.02
30d PnL
-$418.39
30d trades
37
30d wins
9
24.3%
30d volume
$11.6k
Category edge
Sports
42.4%
-14.5pp
n=33

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.4% (14 wins / 19 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 9 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 7-day series
$0.00
-$535.85
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 37 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.51 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.58Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $308Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.81 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 58¢ · 37 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $308.49 · p90 $673.74
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 15:00 · 37 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·19m ago·0x37d0…2121why? →
Illawarra Hawks on New Zealand Breakers vs. Illawarra Hawks
1128.528667 @ 0.581
SELL·22m ago·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-19?
766.52 @ 0.999
BUY·3h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-19?
3.418182 @ 0.550
BUY·3h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-19?
763.109091 @ 0.550
SELL·3h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Atlanta Dream on Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)
-$0.43 · 430.41 @ 0.999
BUY·5h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Atlanta Dream on Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)
+$210.90 · 430.411765 @ 0.510
BUY·13h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?
-$2.61 · 7.25 @ 0.360
BUY·13h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?
-$373.60 · 1037.777778 @ 0.360
BUY·15h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-19?
-$392.00 · 1031.578948 @ 0.380
BUY·17h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$336.00 · 646.153847 @ 0.520
SELL·17h agoageing·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-19?
-$1.14 · 1137.67 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-19?
+$1.95 · 4.63793 @ 0.580
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-19?
+$475.87 · 1133.034483 @ 0.580
SELL·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Golden State Valkyries on Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)
-$0.67 · 674.41 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Golden State Valkyries on Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)
+$2.04 · 3.782609 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Golden State Valkyries on Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)
+$362.14 · 670.630435 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Bakken Bears on Salon Vilpas vs. Bakken Bears
-$388.00 · 577.351738 @ 0.672
SELL·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08?
-$0.71 · 713.72 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Minnesota Lynx on Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)
-$1.78 · 3.56 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Minnesota Lynx on Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)
-$380.40 · 755.882353 @ 0.503
BUY·1d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08?
+$349.73 · 713.725491 @ 0.510
BUY·2d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Las Vegas Aces on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
+$2.09 · 4.27451 @ 0.510
BUY·2d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Las Vegas Aces on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
+$372.56 · 760.32 @ 0.510
SELL·2d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Atlanta Dream on Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)
-$0.40 · 399.49 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
-$94.44 · 171.709091 @ 0.550
BUY·2d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Atlanta Dream on Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)
+$184.59 · 399.498334 @ 0.538
BUY·3d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16?
+$127.78 · 220.309524 @ 0.420
BUY·4d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15?
-$144.41 · 295.122449 @ 0.489
BUY·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Manchester United FC on Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
-$135.39 · 451.3 @ 0.300
SELL·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
-$669.98 · 817.2 @ 0.180
BUY·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$2.55 · 4.545455 @ 0.440
BUY·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$455.09 · 812.659091 @ 0.440
SELL·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
+$375.62 · 626.04 @ 0.600
BUY·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
-$275.46 · 626.045455 @ 0.440
SELL·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-09-13?
-$0.28 · 284.37 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-09-13?
+$156.41 · 284.377778 @ 0.450
BUY·7d agostale·0x37d0…2121why? →
Yes on Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-12?
-$300.00 · 857.142858 @ 0.350
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.