No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?
— 169.508333 @ 0.997
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SU
supalien
All-time PnL
-$5.02k
Win rate
91.4%
91 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$61.93
30d PnL
$1.90
30d trades
10
30d wins
9
90.0%
30d volume
$1.38k
Category edge
Crypto
94.4%
+27.9pp
n=72
Sports
48.1%
-2.1pp
n=27
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
81.8% (81 wins / 18 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 64-day series
$681.62
-$5.02k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavywhalefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 73%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 73% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.74 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.86 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $5,100 — Large typical stake (≥$5k) — a whale-sized footprint.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.76 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 86¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $5.10k · p90 $5.60k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 00:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?
— +$0.34 · 168.336674 @ 0.998
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?
— +$0.17 · 168.168169 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?
— +$0.34 · 168.3365 @ 0.998
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 12?
— +$0.17 · 168.168169 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?
— +$0.25 · 168.25 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?
— +$0.17 · 167.167166 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?
— +$0.07 · 67.867 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2?
— +$0.27 · 67.269 @ 0.996
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 29?
— +$0.13 · 67.134 @ 0.998
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?
— -$5.70k · 5705.705 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18?
— +$5.71 · 5705.705 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 17?
— +$6.21 · 5706.206 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 16?
— +$17.34 · 5717.343333 @ 0.997
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 15?
— +$5.71 · 5705.705 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?
— +$14.08 · 5714.081 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 13?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605604 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?
— +$11.42 · 5711.4225 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10?
— +$9.27 · 5609.266 @ 0.998
No on Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605604 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605604 @ 0.999
No on Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?
— +$11.22 · 5611.222 @ 0.998
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31?
— +$20.28 · 5620.279666 @ 0.996
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605604 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605604 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 28?
— +$5.61 · 5605.605 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?
— +$22.42 · 5522.417 @ 0.996
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?
— +$5.01 · 5005.005 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25?
— +$34.18 · 5534.17925 @ 0.994
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?
— +$5.51 · 5505.505504 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?
— +$5.51 · 5505.505 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?
— +$11.02 · 5511.022 @ 0.998
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 21?
— +$5.51 · 5505.505 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 20?
— +$16.55 · 5516.549333 @ 0.997
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 20?
— -$5.48 · 5480.27 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 20?
— +$20.28 · 5480.278333 @ 0.996
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?
— +$5.41 · 5405.405 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?
— +$5.41 · 5405.405 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14?
— +$5.69 · 5405.694 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 13?
— +$11.80 · 5411.798 @ 0.998
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 12?
— +$5.41 · 5405.405404 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 11?
— +$5.43 · 5405.432 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?
— +$27.14 · 5427.1356 @ 0.995
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?
— +$5.41 · 5405.405 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?
— +$10.86 · 5430.8615 @ 0.998
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.