Chiefs on Colts vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneyline
— 1425.4 @ 0.350
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MA
Madeira99
All-time PnL
-$3.92k
Win rate
52.2%
22 of 43
Total trades
43
Avg PnL / trade
-$170.60
30d PnL
-$3.92k
30d trades
43
30d wins
12
27.9%
30d volume
$17.8k
Category edge
Sports
47.5%
-7.4pp
n=40
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
47.5% (19 wins / 21 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$3.92k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 43 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.63 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.62 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $290 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.03 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 62¢ · 43 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $290.00 · p90 $1.15k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 23:00 · 43 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Chiefs on Colts vs. Chiefs: 1Q Moneyline
— 819.67213 @ 0.610
Jaguars on Jaguars vs. Broncos
— -$1.01k · 1512.806118 @ 0.666
Vikings on Vikings vs. Bears
— +$503.48 · 1006.96 @ 0.500
Vikings on 1H Spread: Bears (-2.5)
— +$206.64 · 504 @ 0.590
Yes on Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?
— -$290.00 · 483.333332 @ 0.600
Yes on Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
— -$252.00 · 700 @ 0.360
on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
— 351.83461 @ 0.358
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
— -$149.22 · 785.37 @ 0.810
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
— +$11.86 · 40.9 @ 0.710
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
— +$223.39 · 744.47 @ 0.700
Yes on Will CF América vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
— +$153.23 · 403.225807 @ 0.620
James Madison on James Madison vs. San Diego State
— -$5.78 · 64.17 @ 0.910
James Madison on James Madison vs. San Diego State
— +$8.98 · 64.17 @ 0.860
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
— -$1.46 · 1455.43 @ 0.999
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
— +$480.29 · 1455.432836 @ 0.670
Alexandre Pantoja on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
— -$220.07 · 523.976191 @ 0.420
Washington Nationals on Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
— -$1.22 · 1221.32 @ 0.999
Washington Nationals on Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
— +$4.76 · 15.36 @ 0.690
Dooho Choi on UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)
— -$3.76 · 5.3 @ 0.710
Dooho Choi on UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)
— -$1.19k · 1681.32 @ 0.710
Gable Steveson on UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)
— -$1.43k · 1573.64 @ 0.910
Under on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— +$81.66 · 154.08 @ 0.470
Under on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— +$10.90 · 20 @ 0.455
Under on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— +$23.60 · 40 @ 0.410
Over on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— +$1.72 · 5.39 @ 0.680
Over on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— +$492.17 · 1538.04 @ 0.680
Charles Jourdain on UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)
— +$65.86 · 1800.67 @ 0.037
Charles Jourdain on UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)
— -$1.15k · 1800.671875 @ 0.640
Over on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— -$5.31 · 531 @ 0.990
Over on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— +$147.83 · 476.87 @ 0.690
Over on O/U 0.5 Rounds
— +$24.62 · 74.62 @ 0.670
Michael Aswell on UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)
— -$336.62 · 731.79 @ 0.540
Michael Aswell on UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)
— +$2.92 · 4.794872 @ 0.390
Michael Aswell on UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)
— +$443.47 · 727 @ 0.390
Over on O/U 1.5 Rounds
— -$190.00 · 542.857143 @ 0.350
Brunno Ferreira on UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
— -$300.00 · 789.473685 @ 0.380
Casey ONeill on UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)
— +$799.63 · 800.43 @ 0.999
Casey ONeill on UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)
— -$1.94 · 2.895521 @ 0.670
Casey ONeill on UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)
— -$534.35 · 797.54 @ 0.670
Over on O/U 1.5 Rounds
— -$1.44 · 2.215385 @ 0.650
Over on O/U 1.5 Rounds
— -$490.40 · 748.020908 @ 0.656
Yes on Fight to Go the Distance?
— -$43.32 · 117.081082 @ 0.370
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.