Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?
— 119.19 @ 0.803
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0X
0x35Bc8b057201F0B787d8FFB7398B3DF0831B70De-1789540936459
All-time PnL
$150.56
Win rate
82.4%
82 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$8.76
30d PnL
$148.94
30d trades
100
30d wins
14
14.0%
30d volume
$6.38k
Category edge
Weather
60.4%
+5.6pp
n=53
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
60.4% (32 wins / 21 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 3-day series
$131.85
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.30 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.69 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $16 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.31 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 69¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $16.38 · p90 $132.01
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 01:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?
— 103 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?
— 16.66 @ 0.700
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?
— 12.13 @ 0.670
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?
— 18.87 @ 0.685
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?
— 86.77 @ 0.637
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?
— 43.83 @ 0.900
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?
— 24 @ 0.920
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?
— 112.48 @ 0.917
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?
— 198.83 @ 0.770
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 104.52 @ 0.940
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 37.83 @ 0.856
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 39.69 @ 0.805
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 19?
— 32.56 @ 0.959
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 19?
— 196 @ 0.967
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?
— 6.36 @ 0.810
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 85.97 @ 0.878
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 18.93 @ 0.860
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 150.64 @ 0.876
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 13.56 @ 0.700
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 19.02 @ 0.650
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?
— 25.34 @ 0.258
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?
— 15.28 @ 0.470
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19?
— 944.52 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 5 @ 0.620
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19?
— 521 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 12.31 @ 0.586
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 45 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?
— 19.8 @ 0.586
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 27.33 @ 0.707
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?
— 19.8 @ 0.485
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 27.33 @ 0.634
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 156.78 @ 0.950
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 18.77 @ 0.350
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 26.73 @ 0.902
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 5 @ 0.290
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 5 @ 0.290
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 11.12 @ 0.299
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 137.4 @ 0.950
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 4.43 @ 0.080
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 26.31 @ 0.090
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 23.26 @ 0.098
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?
— 54 @ 0.070
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?
— 58.83 @ 0.280
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?
— -$0.01 · 10.42 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?
— 80 @ 0.140
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?
— 40 @ 0.110
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?
— +$0.50 · 10 @ 0.950
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?
— +$2.10 · 50 @ 0.958
No on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?
— +$3.40 · 80 @ 0.958
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.